Ligue 1 | Gameweek 26
Mar 17, 2024 at 12pm UK
Stade Francis-Le Ble
We said: Brest 1-1 Lille
While Brest's defensive record has been excellent this season, it will be hard to stop the in-form David from getting on the scoresheet.
Lille have struggled for wins away from home this season with most games ending in draws, so we expect this one to follow this trend and end in a stalemate.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 36.89%. A win for Brest had a probability of 34.55% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.71%) and 0-2 (6.93%). The likeliest Brest win was 1-0 (11.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result |
| Brest | Draw | Lille |
34.55% ( 0.93) | 28.56% ( 0.13) | 36.89% ( -1.06) |
| Both teams to score 46.1% ( -0.27) |
| 39.68% ( -0.39) | 60.31% ( 0.38) |
| 19.52% ( -0.3) | 80.47% ( 0.29) |
| 67.15% ( 0.43) | 32.85% ( -0.43) |
