Ligue 1 | Gameweek 26
Mar 4, 2023 at 4pm UK
Stade Felix Bollaert
Lens1 - 1Lille
We said: Lens 2-1 Lille
In spite of their faltering form, home advantage in this Derby du Nord could count heavily in the favour of Lens, who are rock-solid in front of their own fans. Only PSG can better their home stats this term, so a momentum-shifting win may be on the cards - keeping them ahead of Lille in the table. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 42.98%. A win for Lille had a probability of 31.8% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest Lille win was 0-1 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lens | Draw | Lille |
42.98% ( 0) | 25.22% ( -0.02) | 31.8% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 55.8% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
