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Lyon
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 5
Aug 31, 2022 at 6pm UK
Stade de Gerland
AJ Auxerre

Lyon
2 - 1
Auxerre

Tete (29'), Toko Ekambi (72')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Autret (80')
Ruiz-Atil (57'), Perrin (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Ligue 1 clash between Lyon and Auxerre, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Reims 1-1 Lyon
Sunday, August 28 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1

We said: Lyon 2-1 Auxerre

Look for Lyon to be in a foul mood following a sub-par performance over the weekend, as we anticipate their overall quality will step up on Wednesday against one of the early surprises of the top-flight campaign. Auxerre have come a long way since losing their opening fixture, but they defend deep and rarely take chances going forward with fewer than 40% possession in three matches this season, and we do not believe they will be able to contain a Lyon side with so many attacking weapons over 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 69.67%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Auxerre had a probability of 12.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 1-0 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.01%), while for an Auxerre win it was 1-2 (3.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Lyon in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Lyon.

Result
LyonDrawAuxerre
69.67% (0.148 0.15) 17.37% (-0.061 -0.06) 12.96% (-0.087999999999999 -0.09)
Both teams to score 55.26% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.7% (0.084999999999994 0.08)35.3% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.67% (0.097000000000001 0.1)57.32% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
Lyon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.89% (0.055999999999997 0.06)9.11% (-0.058 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.06% (0.137 0.14)30.93% (-0.139 -0.14)
Auxerre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.8% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)39.2% (0.07 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.09% (-0.067 -0.07)75.91% (0.066000000000003 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Lyon 69.66%
    Auxerre 12.96%
    Draw 17.37%
LyonDrawAuxerre
2-0 @ 10.24%
2-1 @ 9.6% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.56% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
3-0 @ 8.18% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
3-1 @ 7.67% (0.011 0.01)
4-0 @ 4.9% (0.029 0.03)
4-1 @ 4.59% (0.019 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.59% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
5-0 @ 2.35% (0.02 0.02)
5-1 @ 2.2% (0.014 0.01)
4-2 @ 2.15% (0.0049999999999999 0)
5-2 @ 1.03% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
6-0 @ 0.94% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 3.67%
Total : 69.66%
1-1 @ 8.01% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.5% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.57% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.12% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 17.37%
1-2 @ 3.75% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-1 @ 3.35% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-2 @ 1.57% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.4% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.17% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 12.96%

How you voted: Lyon vs Auxerre

Lyon
82.2%
Draw
13.3%
Auxerre
4.4%
45
Head to Head
Apr 7, 2012 4pm
Nov 27, 2011 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG342210281334876
2MonacoMonaco34207768422667
3Brest341710753341961
4Lille341611752341859
5Nice341510940291155
6Lyon34165134955-653
7Lens34149114537851
8Marseille3413111052411150
9Reims34138134247-547
10Rennes341210125346746
11Toulouse341110134246-443
12Montpellier HSCMontpellier341012124348-541
13StrasbourgStrasbourg34109153850-1239
14NantesNantes3496193055-2533
15Le HavreLe Havre34711163445-1132
16Metz3485213558-2329
17Lorient3478194366-2329
RClermont34510192660-3425


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