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Ligue 1
Marseille
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 3
Aug 20, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stade Velodrome
Nantes

Marseille
2 - 1
Nantes

Mbemba (70'), Pallois (82' og.)
Rongier (55'), Gigot (60'), Lopez (76'), Veretout (90+3')
Gigot (76')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Blas (78' pen.)
Guessand (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Marseille and Nantes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Marseille

Last Six:
Last Game: Brest 1-1 Marseille
Sunday, August 14 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Nantes

Last Six:
Last Game: Nantes 1-1 Lille
Friday, August 12 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Marseille 1-0 Nantes

 Nantes are likely to be tricky opposition for Marseille, and the home side might need to be patient when it comes to grinding out a result here. We are not expecting a high-scoring contest on Saturday but believe that last season's runners-up will be able to claim all three points in front of their own supporters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 60.58%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 17.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.62%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.3%), while for a Nantes win it was 0-1 (5.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.

Result
MarseilleDrawNantes
60.58% (0.613 0.61) 21.71% (-0.204 -0.2) 17.72% (-0.403 -0.4)
Both teams to score 51.82% (-0.105 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.44% (0.247 0.25)45.56% (-0.242 -0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.11% (0.235 0.23)67.89% (-0.229 -0.23)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.42% (0.27900000000001 0.28)14.58% (-0.275 -0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.34% (0.531 0.53)42.66% (-0.52500000000001 -0.53)
Nantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.67% (-0.32 -0.32)39.33% (0.325 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.97% (-0.3 -0.3)76.03% (0.306 0.31)
Score Analysis
    Marseille 60.57%
    Nantes 17.72%
    Draw 21.7%
MarseilleDrawNantes
1-0 @ 11.04%
2-0 @ 10.62% (0.09 0.09)
2-1 @ 9.92% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 6.82% (0.127 0.13)
3-1 @ 6.37% (0.063 0.06)
4-0 @ 3.28% (0.092 0.09)
4-1 @ 3.06% (0.06 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.97% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.43% (0.016 0.02)
5-0 @ 1.26% (0.047 0.05)
5-1 @ 1.18% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 60.57%
1-1 @ 10.3% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-0 @ 5.74% (-0.059 -0.06)
2-2 @ 4.63% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-3 @ 0.92% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 21.7%
0-1 @ 5.35% (-0.103 -0.1)
1-2 @ 4.81% (-0.089 -0.09)
0-2 @ 2.5% (-0.071 -0.07)
1-3 @ 1.5% (-0.041 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.44% (-0.025 -0.03)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 17.72%

How you voted: Marseille vs Nantes

Marseille
87.7%
Draw
8.2%
Nantes
4.1%
73
Head to Head
Apr 20, 2022 8pm
Marseille
3-2
Nantes
Payet (39' pen., 55' pen.), Harit (75')
Peres (35'), Milik (87')
Girotto (26'), Coco (41')
Blas (32'), Coco (45'), Da Silva (81'), Appiah (90+1')
Coco (90+3')
Dec 1, 2021 8pm
Nantes
0-1
Marseille

Pallois (14'), Lafont (78')
Pallois (32')
Gerson (30')
Gerson (71'), Gonzalez (78')
Feb 20, 2021 4pm
Nantes
1-1
Marseille
Blas (50')
Traore (32'), Castelletto (43'), Chirivella (74'), Bamba (88')
Payet (69')
Gonzalez (88')
Sakai (90+3')
Nov 28, 2020 4pm
Marseille
3-1
Nantes
Thauvin (2'), Payet (35'), Benedetto (60' pen.)
Payet (47'), Rongier (54'), Gonzalez (71'), Strootman (90+3')
Blas (73')
Castelletto (57'), Blas (83')
Feb 22, 2020 4.30pm
Marseille
1-3
Nantes
Sanson (39')
Amavi (44')
Limbombe (34'), Bamba (53'), Gonzalez (90' og.)
Simon (45'), Traore (61'), Girotto (64')
rhs 2.0
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG312010176294770
2MonacoMonaco31177758411758
3Brest31168749331656
4Lille311510645271855
5Nice31149836251151
6Lens31137114034646
7Marseille31111194738944
8Lyon31135134251-944
9Rennes31119114841742
10Toulouse311010113840-240
11Reims31117133845-740
12Montpellier HSCMontpellier31911113943-437
13StrasbourgStrasbourg3199133444-1036
14NantesNantes3195172949-2032
15Le HavreLe Havre31611143041-1129
16Metz3185183251-1929
17Lorient3168173761-2426
18Clermont31510162550-2525
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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