Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
7 | Auxerre | 4 | -1 | 7 |
8 | Montpellier HSC | 4 | 4 | 6 |
9 | Clermont | 4 | -3 | 6 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
18 | Nice | 4 | -4 | 2 |
19 | Reims | 4 | -5 | 2 |
20 | Ajaccio | 4 | -4 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 45.8%. A win for Ajaccio had a probability of 27.35% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (8.72%). The likeliest Ajaccio win was 0-1 (9.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Montpellier HSC would win this match.
Result | ||
Montpellier HSC | Draw | Ajaccio |
45.8% ( 0.02) | 26.84% ( -0.03) | 27.35% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 48.32% ( 0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.76% ( 0.11) | 56.23% ( -0.11) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.72% ( 0.09) | 77.28% ( -0.09) |
Montpellier HSC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.5% ( 0.06) | 24.5% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.04% ( 0.08) | 58.96% ( -0.08) |
Ajaccio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64% ( 0.06) | 36% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.22% ( 0.07) | 72.77% ( -0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Montpellier HSC | Draw | Ajaccio |
1-0 @ 12.4% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.91% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.72% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.18% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.09% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.14% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.47% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.44% ( 0) Other @ 2.45% Total : 45.8% | 1-1 @ 12.67% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.82% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 4.55% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.8% Total : 26.84% | 0-1 @ 9.01% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.48% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.6% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.21% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.57% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.94% Total : 27.35% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 34 | 22 | 10 | 2 | 81 | 33 | 48 | 76 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 42 | 26 | 67 |
3 | Brest | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 53 | 34 | 19 | 61 |
4 | Lille | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 52 | 34 | 18 | 59 |
5 | Nice | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 55 |
6 | Lyon | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 53 |
7 | Lens | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 51 |
8 | Marseille | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 50 |
9 | Reims | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 47 |
10 | Rennes | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 46 |
11 | Toulouse | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 43 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 43 | 48 | -5 | 41 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 30 | 55 | -25 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 34 | 8 | 5 | 21 | 35 | 58 | -23 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 43 | 66 | -23 | 29 |
R | Clermont | 34 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 26 | 60 | -34 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |