Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 52.67%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Strasbourg had a probability of 21.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.32%) and 1-2 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.99%), while for a Strasbourg win it was 1-0 (7.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Strasbourg | Draw | Lille |
21.89% ( -0.36) | 25.44% ( 0.05) | 52.67% ( 0.31) |
Both teams to score 47.14% ( -0.57) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.84% ( -0.53) | 55.16% ( 0.54) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.6% ( -0.44) | 76.4% ( 0.44) |
Strasbourg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.65% ( -0.66) | 40.35% ( 0.66) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.03% ( -0.6) | 76.97% ( 0.61) |
Lille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.03% ( -0.09) | 20.97% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.28% ( -0.14) | 53.72% ( 0.14) |
Score Analysis |
Strasbourg | Draw | Lille |
1-0 @ 7.68% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 5.44% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 3.48% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 1.65% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 1.29% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 1.05% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.3% Total : 21.89% | 1-1 @ 11.99% 0-0 @ 8.46% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 4.25% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.73% Total : 25.43% | 0-1 @ 13.21% ( 0.23) 0-2 @ 10.32% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 9.37% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 5.38% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 4.88% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 2.1% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.91% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.29% Total : 52.66% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 34 | 22 | 10 | 2 | 81 | 33 | 48 | 76 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 42 | 26 | 67 |
3 | Brest | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 53 | 34 | 19 | 61 |
4 | Lille | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 52 | 34 | 18 | 59 |
5 | Nice | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 55 |
6 | Lyon | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 53 |
7 | Lens | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 51 |
8 | Marseille | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 50 |
9 | Reims | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 47 |
10 | Rennes | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 46 |
11 | Toulouse | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 43 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 43 | 48 | -5 | 41 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 30 | 55 | -25 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 34 | 8 | 5 | 21 | 35 | 58 | -23 | 29 |
R | Lorient | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 43 | 66 | -23 | 29 |
R | Clermont | 34 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 26 | 60 | -34 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |