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Ligue 1
Troyes
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 14
Nov 4, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stade de l'Aube
AJ Auxerre

Troyes
1 - 1
Auxerre

Lopes (28')
Salmier (17'), Ripart (72')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Perrin (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Ligue 1 clash between Troyes and Auxerre, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Troyes

All competitions
Last Game: PSG 4-3 Troyes
Saturday, October 29 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Auxerre

All competitions
Last Game: Auxerre 1-0 Ajaccio
Sunday, October 30 at 12pm in Ligue 1

We said: Troyes 1-1 Auxerre

 As the standings indicate, these are two evenly-matched teams, though Troyes might have a little more quality in the attack. Auxerre looked sharp along the backline last weekend, and we expect them to hold firm on Friday, as the message from their new boss seems to be resonating early on. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Troyes win with a probability of 54.79%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Auxerre had a probability of 22.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Troyes win was 1-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.85%) and 2-0 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.8%), while for an Auxerre win it was 0-1 (5.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
TroyesDrawAuxerre
54.79% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03) 22.92% (0.0070000000000014 0.01) 22.29% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Both teams to score 55.35% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.46% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)44.54% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.09% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)66.91% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Troyes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.85% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)16.15% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.41% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)45.59% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Auxerre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.01% (0.018999999999991 0.02)33.99% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.33% (0.02 0.02)70.67% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Troyes 54.78%
    Auxerre 22.29%
    Draw 22.92%
TroyesDrawAuxerre
1-0 @ 10% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.85% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 9.13% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.98% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-0 @ 5.55% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.23%
4-1 @ 2.73% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
4-0 @ 2.53% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.47% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-1 @ 1% (-0.001 -0)
5-0 @ 0.92% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 54.78%
1-1 @ 10.8% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.49% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 5.31% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-3 @ 1.16%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 22.92%
0-1 @ 5.92% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-2 @ 5.83% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.2% (0.004 0)
1-3 @ 2.1% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.91% (0.002 0)
0-3 @ 1.15% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 22.29%

How you voted: Troyes vs Auxerre

Troyes
67.6%
Draw
22.5%
Auxerre
9.8%
102
Head to Head
Jan 30, 2021 2pm
Troyes
3-1
Auxerre
Dingome (28'), Raveloson (75'), Gory (90')
Gallon (80'), Salmier (90+3')
Fortune (79')
Coeff (69')
Sep 21, 2020 7.45pm
Auxerre
2-1
Troyes
N'Gando (37'), Le Bihan (59')
Arcus (61')
Touzghar (90+1')
Tardieu (79'), Salmier (88'), Lumeka (90+4')
Feb 24, 2020 7.45pm
Troyes
3-1
Auxerre
Tchimbembe (29', 65'), Bedia (37')
Tardieu (26'), Giraudon (45')
N'Gando (44')
Michel (45'), Sylvestre (83')
Toure (44')
Sep 20, 2019 7pm
Auxerre
1-2
Troyes
Yattara (25')
Bellugou (22')
Le Bihan (44')
Tardieu (5'), Bedia (92')
Salmier (45'), Barthelme (60'), Giraudon (66'), Kouyate (70'), Gallon (95')
Mar 1, 2019 7pm
Auxerre
0-2
Troyes

Van Boto (10')
Mbeumo (12'), Touzghar (43')
Mbeumo (31')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG342210281334876
2MonacoMonaco34207768422667
3Brest341710753341961
4Lille341611752341859
5Nice341510940291155
6Lyon34165134955-653
7Lens34149114537851
8Marseille3413111052411150
9Reims34138134247-547
10Rennes341210125346746
11Toulouse341110134246-443
12Montpellier HSCMontpellier341012124348-541
13StrasbourgStrasbourg34109153850-1239
14NantesNantes3496193055-2533
15Le HavreLe Havre34711163445-1132
16Metz3485213558-2329
RLorient3478194366-2329
RClermont34510192660-3425
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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