MLS Playoffs | First Round

Oct 16, 2022 at 8pm UK

Austin FC Stadium

Austin
2 - 2
Salt Lake

Driussi (31', 90+4' pen.)
Ring (41')

FT
(aet)

Cordova (3', 15' pen.)
Rubin (17'), Glad (45+4'), Caldwell (90+2')

Austin win 3-1 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's MLS Playoffs clash between Austin FC and Real Salt Lake, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Austin FC

All competitions

Last Game: Austin 1-1 Colorado
Sunday, October 9 at 10pm in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Real Salt Lake

All competitions

Last Game: Salt Lake 3-1 Portland
Sunday, October 9 at 10pm in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

We say: Austin FC 2-0 Real Salt Lake

Over the course of the season, Austin were what RSL became in the postseason in 2021, an underdog story who surprised everyone time and again. Unfortunately for Salt Lake, that was then and this is now, and the bottom line is that we do not believe the visitors have the stamina or quality to compete with a side who have as many weapons as the Verde and Black, not to mention that kind of intense heat which we are likely to see, which should favour the home team. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 60.12%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 19.16%.

The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.12%) and 1-0 (8.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.54%), while for a Real Salt Lake win it was 1-2 (5.19%).

Result
Austin FC	Draw	Real Salt Lake
60.12% ( 1.55)	20.71% ( -0.58)	19.16% ( -0.97)

Both teams to score 57.96% (

0.35)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.23% (

1.24)

38.76% (

-1.24)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.93% (

1.3)

61.07% (

-1.3)

Austin FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.46% (

0.85)

12.54% (

-0.85)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.42% (

1.74)

38.57% (

-1.74)

Real Salt Lake Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.27% (

-0.25)

33.72% (

0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.61% (

-0.28)

70.38% (

0.28)

Score Analysis

Austin FC 60.12%

Real Salt Lake 19.16%

Draw 20.71%

Austin FC	Draw	Real Salt Lake
2-1 @ 9.91% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.12% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 8.78% ( -0.23) 3-1 @ 6.86% ( 0.21) 3-0 @ 6.31% ( 0.24) 3-2 @ 3.73% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 3.56% ( 0.22) 4-0 @ 3.28% ( 0.22) 4-2 @ 1.94% ( 0.11) 5-1 @ 1.48% ( 0.13) 5-0 @ 1.36% ( 0.13) Other @ 3.82% Total : 60.12%	1-1 @ 9.54% ( -0.32) 2-2 @ 5.39% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 4.23% ( -0.25) 3-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.21% Total : 20.71%	1-2 @ 5.19% ( -0.21) 0-1 @ 4.6% ( -0.31) 0-2 @ 2.5% ( -0.19) 2-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.14% Total : 19.16%