Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 48.65%. A win for Nashville SC had a probability of 26.51% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 2-0 (8.47%). The likeliest Nashville SC win was 0-1 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atlanta United would win this match.
Result | ||
Atlanta United | Draw | Nashville SC |
48.65% ( 0.13) | 24.84% ( -0.04) | 26.51% ( -0.09) |
Both teams to score 53.7% ( 0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.09% ( 0.1) | 48.91% ( -0.1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29% ( 0.09) | 71% ( -0.09) |
Atlanta United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.86% ( 0.1) | 20.14% ( -0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.59% ( 0.16) | 52.41% ( -0.16) |
Nashville SC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.24% ( -0.02) | 32.76% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.68% ( -0.02) | 69.32% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Atlanta United | Draw | Nashville SC |
1-0 @ 10.57% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.45% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.47% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.05% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 4.53% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.82% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.02% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.81% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.13% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.79% Total : 48.65% | 1-1 @ 11.79% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.6% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.28% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.05% ( 0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.84% | 0-1 @ 7.36% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 6.58% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.11% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.45% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.96% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.52% Total : 26.51% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 39 | 24 | 15 | 34 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 16 | 7 | 33 |
3 | New York City FCNY City | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 29 |
4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 28 | 22 | 6 | 26 |
5 | Columbus Crew | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 24 |
6 | Toronto | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 23 |
7 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 22 |
8 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 19 |
9 | Nashville SCNashville | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 19 |
10 | DC United | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 18 |
11 | Orlando City | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 17 |
12 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 16 |
13 | CF MontrealMontreal | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 16 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 28 | -13 | 12 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 13 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 26 | -17 | 7 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 31 | 18 | 13 | 30 |
2 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 28 |
3 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
4 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 25 |
5 | Austin FCAustin | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 23 |
6 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 22 |
7 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 22 |
8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 21 |
9 | Portland TimbersPortland | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 19 |
10 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 18 |
11 | St Louis City | 14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 16 |
12 | Dallas | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 13 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 11 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 24 | 39 | -15 | 11 |