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Austin FC
Major League Soccer
Jun 22, 2023 at 4.07am UK
Al Saqr Stadium
FC Dallas

Austin
3 - 0
Dallas

Finlay (17'), Fagundez (42'), Zardes (58')
Wolff (26'), Finlay (85')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Quignon (25')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Major League Soccer clash between Austin FC and Dallas, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Kansas 4-1 Austin
Sunday, June 11 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Next Game: Austin vs. Houston
Sunday, June 25 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Portland 1-0 Dallas
Monday, June 12 at 3am in Major League Soccer
Next Game: Dallas vs. Los Angeles
Sunday, July 2 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 54.8%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Dallas had a probability of 20.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.35%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.53%), while for a Dallas win it was 0-1 (6.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Austin FC would win this match.

Result
Austin FCDrawDallas
54.8% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1) 24.29% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01) 20.9% (0.095000000000002 0.1)
Both teams to score 49.14% (0.151 0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.16% (0.13 0.13)51.83% (-0.139 -0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.4% (0.113 0.11)73.59% (-0.122 -0.12)
Austin FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.18% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)18.82% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.75% (0.021999999999998 0.02)50.25% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)
Dallas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.53% (0.175 0.17)39.46% (-0.184 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.84% (0.163 0.16)76.15% (-0.172 -0.17)
Score Analysis
    Austin FC 54.79%
    Dallas 20.9%
    Draw 24.29%
Austin FCDrawDallas
1-0 @ 12.4% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-0 @ 10.35% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-1 @ 9.63% (0.004999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 5.77% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
3-1 @ 5.36% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.49% (0.015 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.41% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.24% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.04% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 54.79%
1-1 @ 11.53%
0-0 @ 7.43% (-0.041 -0.04)
2-2 @ 4.48% (0.025 0.03)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 24.29%
0-1 @ 6.9% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-2 @ 5.36% (0.026 0.03)
0-2 @ 3.21% (0.014 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.66% (0.016 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.39% (0.014 0.01)
0-3 @ 1% (0.009 0.01)
Other @ 1.38%
Total : 20.9%

How you voted: Austin vs Dallas

Austin FC
42.9%
Draw
42.9%
Dallas
14.3%
14
Head to Head
May 14, 2023 1.30am
Oct 24, 2022 1am
Conference Semi-Finals
Austin
2-1
Dallas
Jul 17, 2022 2am
Jun 26, 2022 2am
Oct 31, 2021 1am
Gameweek 43
Dallas
2-1
Austin
Twumasi (23'), Cerrillo (48')
Romana (14'), Stuver (72'), Fagundez (83')
Jimenez (58')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami17104339241534
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati1610332316733
3New York City FCNY City169252417729
4New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls157532822626
5Columbus Crew146622113824
6Toronto167272424023
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC166461516-122
8Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia154742521419
9Nashville SCNashville154741920-119
10DC United164662329-618
11Orlando City154561623-717
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta154472018216
13CF MontrealMontreal154472133-1216
14Chicago Fire162681528-1312
15New England RevolutionNew England132110926-177

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1686231181330
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy167723023728
3Los Angeles FCLos Angeles158342719827
4Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd147432419525
5Austin FCAustin166552020023
6Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver156452218422
7Colorado RapidsColorado166462829-122
8Houston DynamoHouston156361616021
9Portland TimbersPortland165473030019
10Seattle SoundersSeattle164661919018
11St Louis City143742022-216
12Dallas143471723-613
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas152582328-511
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes1632112439-1511


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