Major League Soccer
May 21, 2023 at 1.30am UK
Toyota Park
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 47.87%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 27.7% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.44%) and 2-0 (7.95%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 0-1 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.
Result |
Chicago Fire | Draw | Atlanta United |
47.87% ( 0) | 24.43% ( -0) | 27.7% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 56% ( 0.01) |
53.67% ( 0.01) | 46.32% ( -0.02) |
31.39% ( 0.01) | 68.61% ( -0.02) |
80.56% ( 0) | 19.43% ( -0.01) |