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Chicago Fire
Major League Soccer
Apr 7, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Soldier Field
Houston Dynamo

Chicago Fire
2 - 1
Houston

Shaqiri (10' pen.), Gutierrez (78')
Czichos (68')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Ibrahim (65')
Sviatchenko (44')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Chicago Fire and Houston Dynamo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Atlanta 3-0 Chicago Fire
Sunday, March 31 at 8.45pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Houston 2-1 Earthquakes
Sunday, March 31 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Chicago Fire 1-2 Houston Dynamo

Chicago have been struggling to find their best form this season and are coming off a very poor display against Atlanta last weekend. They now have to face a Houston side that are unbeaten in their last four in all competitions, are riding a three-match winning streak and will be brimming with confidence after their comeback win against the Earthquakes. We fancy the hosts to get on the board here but feel that the visitors will outscore them by the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 47.03%. A win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 27.67% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (8.27%). The likeliest Houston Dynamo win was 0-1 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chicago Fire would win this match.

Result
Chicago FireDrawHouston Dynamo
47.03% (0.030000000000001 0.03) 25.31% (0.0019999999999989 0) 27.67% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Both teams to score 53.15% (-0.020999999999994 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.94% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)50.06% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.97% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02)72.04% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Chicago Fire Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.7% (0.007000000000005 0.01)21.3% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.76% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)54.24% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Houston Dynamo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.54% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)32.46% (0.035000000000004 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.02% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)68.98% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Chicago Fire 47.02%
    Houston Dynamo 27.67%
    Draw 25.31%
Chicago FireDrawHouston Dynamo
1-0 @ 10.69% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.3% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 8.27% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.8% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 4.26% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.7% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.85% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.65% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 47.02%
1-1 @ 12.03%
0-0 @ 6.91% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.23% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-3 @ 1.01% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.31%
0-1 @ 7.78%
1-2 @ 6.77% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.38% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-3 @ 2.54% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 1.96% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 1.64% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 27.67%

How you voted: Chicago Fire vs Houston

Chicago Fire
40.0%
Draw
0.0%
Houston Dynamo
60.0%
5
Head to Head
Jun 7, 2023 1.30am
Quarter-Finals
Chicago Fire
1-4
Houston
Souquet (40')
Pineda (21'), Navarro (62'), Gimenez (63'), Burks (90')
Bassi (12' pen.), Ibrahim (31', 59'), Quinones (74')
Gasper (89')
Sep 24, 2020 12.30am
Aug 4, 2019 2am
Gameweek 29
Houston
0-1
Chicago Fire

Elis (44'), Vera (46')
Nikolic (45')
Bronico (53'), McCarty (67')
May 20, 2018 9pm
Gameweek 14
Chicago Fire
2-3
Houston
Nikolics (14'), Campos (16')
Adams (38'), Sanchez (83'), Ramos (91')
Quioto (4'), Elis (56' pen., 74')
Garcia (67'), Quioto (79'), Elis (80'), Willis (96')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1383235201527
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati127321510524
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls125522018220
4Toronto126151617-119
5DC United124531919017
6New York City FCNY City125251414017
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC125251313017
8Columbus Crew113621311215
9Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia113532119214
10Atlanta UnitedAtlanta113351614212
11Orlando City113351420-612
12CF MontrealMontreal113351523-812
13Nashville SCNashville112541419-511
14Chicago Fire122461222-1010
15New England RevolutionNew England11218922-137

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake126422011922
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd106221711620
3Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy125522319420
4Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver115331813518
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles125342219318
6Colorado RapidsColorado125342018218
7Houston DynamoHouston115241111017
8St Louis City113711815316
9Austin FCAustin124441515016
10Seattle SoundersSeattle123451514113
11Sporting Kansas CityKansas122551921-211
12Dallas113261216-411
13Portland TimbersPortland122462125-410
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes123182028-810


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