Major League Soccer

Aug 21, 2022 at 11.48pm UK

Columbus Crew Stadium

Columbus Crew
2 - 2
Atlanta

Camilo Hernandez (66', 72')
Artur (31'), Etienne (51'), Mensah (82')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Sosa (21'), Sanchez (77')
Sosa (69'), Mosquera (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Columbus Crew and Atlanta United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Columbus Crew 2-1 Atlanta United

Everything seems to be clicking for the Crew right now, and even though they are heavily dependent on a couple of individuals, they have a ton of momentum on their side and are playing at a level worthy of a playoff appearance which cannot be said with the Five Stripes at the moment. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 50.2%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 25.54% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (8.56%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 0-1 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
Columbus Crew	Draw	Atlanta United
50.2% ( -0.1)	24.26% ( 0.02)	25.54% ( 0.08)

Both teams to score 54.69% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.81%

47.19% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.58%

69.42% (

Columbus Crew Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.17% (

-0.04)

18.83% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.73% (

-0.07)

50.27% (

0.07)

Atlanta United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.37% (

0.07)

32.63% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.83% (

0.07)

69.17% (

-0.07)

Score Analysis

Columbus Crew 50.19%

Atlanta United 25.54%

Draw 24.26%

Columbus Crew	Draw	Atlanta United
1-0 @ 10.25% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.59% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.56% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 5.34% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.77% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.99% 4-1 @ 2.23% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.99% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.25% ( -0) Other @ 3.23% Total : 50.19%	1-1 @ 11.49% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.14% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.37% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.12% ( 0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.26%	0-1 @ 6.88% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.43% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 3.85% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.4% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.01% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.52% Total : 25.54%