Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 68.66%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Inter Miami had a probability of 13.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.32%) and 3-1 (7.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.78%), while for a Inter Miami win it was 1-2 (3.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Inter Miami would win this match.
Result | ||
Los Angeles FC | Draw | Inter Miami |
68.66% ( -0.18) | 17.35% ( 0.08) | 13.98% ( 0.1) |
Both teams to score 58.51% ( -0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
67.38% ( -0.21) | 32.62% ( 0.21) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
45.72% ( -0.25) | 54.28% ( 0.24) |
Los Angeles FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.36% ( -0.1) | 8.64% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
70.2% ( -0.23) | 29.8% ( 0.23) |
Inter Miami Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.04% ( -0.01) | 35.96% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.26% ( -0.01) | 72.73% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Los Angeles FC | Draw | Inter Miami |
2-1 @ 9.53% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 9.32% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 7.78% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.61% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 7.6% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 4.76% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 4.65% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.98% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 2.44% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 2.33% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 2.28% ( -0.03) 5-2 @ 1.19% ( -0.01) 6-1 @ 0.95% ( -0.02) 6-0 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.32% Total : 68.66% | 1-1 @ 7.78% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.87% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 3.11% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.36% ( -0) Other @ 0.23% Total : 17.35% | 1-2 @ 3.98% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 3.18% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.66% ( 0) 0-2 @ 1.63% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.18% Total : 13.98% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 42 | 27 | 15 | 35 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 16 | 7 | 33 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 29 |
4 | New York City FCNY City | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 29 |
5 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 25 |
6 | Columbus Crew | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 24 |
7 | Toronto | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 24 |
8 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 20 |
9 | Nashville SCNashville | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 19 |
10 | DC United | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 19 |
11 | Orlando City | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 17 |
12 | CF MontrealMontreal | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 17 |
13 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 16 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 15 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 11 | 27 | -16 | 10 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 36 | 19 | 17 | 33 |
2 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 30 |
3 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 28 |
4 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 28 |
5 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 25 |
6 | Austin FCAustin | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 23 |
7 | Houston DynamoHouston | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 22 |
8 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 22 |
9 | Portland TimbersPortland | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 20 |
10 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 18 |
11 | St Louis City | 15 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 17 |
12 | Dallas | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 13 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 31 | -7 | 11 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 24 | 39 | -15 | 11 |