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Major League Soccer
Sep 14, 2022 at 12.30am UK
Saputo Stadium
Chicago Fire

Montreal
3 - 2
Chicago Fire

Kamara (21', 29'), Brault-Guillard (44')
Waterman (57'), Camacho (61'), Wanyama (69')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Shaqiri (39' pen., 57' pen.)
Reynolds (19'), Sekulic (79'), Teran (85'), Czichos (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Major League Soccer clash between CF Montreal and Chicago Fire, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Montreal 2-2 Columbus Crew
Saturday, September 10 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: CF Montreal 1-0 Chicago Fire

The Fire have done a great job of shutting down their opponents through large portions of their matches this season, but they have a tendency to hang back and defend more often than not, and an attack as dynamic as Montreal's only need a couple of chances to make them count. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 61.21%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 17.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.18%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.94%), while for a Chicago Fire win it was 0-1 (4.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that CF Montreal would win this match.

Result
CF MontrealDrawChicago Fire
61.21% (0.273 0.27) 21.07% (-0.118 -0.12) 17.71% (-0.16 -0.16)
Both teams to score 53.9% (0.074000000000005 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.21% (0.256 0.26)42.79% (-0.26 -0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.8% (0.252 0.25)65.19% (-0.25800000000001 -0.26)
CF Montreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.51% (0.16199999999999 0.16)13.49% (-0.167 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.48% (0.328 0.33)40.51% (-0.333 -0.33)
Chicago Fire Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.31% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)37.69% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.53% (-0.029999999999998 -0.03)74.46% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    CF Montreal 61.21%
    Chicago Fire 17.71%
    Draw 21.07%
CF MontrealDrawChicago Fire
2-0 @ 10.2% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-0 @ 10.18% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-1 @ 9.95%
3-0 @ 6.81% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
3-1 @ 6.65% (0.04 0.04)
4-0 @ 3.41% (0.045 0.04)
4-1 @ 3.33% (0.04 0.04)
3-2 @ 3.24% (0.017 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.62% (0.018 0.02)
5-0 @ 1.37% (0.026 0.03)
5-1 @ 1.33% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 61.21%
1-1 @ 9.94% (-0.061 -0.06)
0-0 @ 5.08% (-0.059 -0.06)
2-2 @ 4.86% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-3 @ 1.06% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 21.07%
0-1 @ 4.96% (-0.061 -0.06)
1-2 @ 4.85% (-0.034 -0.03)
0-2 @ 2.42% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.58% (-0.002 -0)
1-3 @ 1.58% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 17.71%

How you voted: Montreal vs Chicago Fire

CF Montreal
75.0%
Draw
21.4%
Chicago Fire
3.6%
28
Head to Head
Aug 28, 2022 1am
Chicago Fire
0-2
Montreal

Teran (22'), Torres (57')
Kone (19'), Quioto (24')
Kone (34'), Wanyama (45+6'), Mihailovic (59'), Breza (62')
Kone (45+3')
Sep 19, 2021 6pm
Montreal
2-0
Chicago Fire
Quioto (60'), Teran Diaz (80' og.)

Stojanovic (39'), Teran Diaz (49')
May 29, 2021 6pm
Oct 4, 2020 12.30am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami17104339241534
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati1610332316733
3New York City FCNY City169252417729
4New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls157532822626
5Columbus Crew146622113824
6Toronto167272424023
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC166461516-122
8Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia154742521419
9Nashville SCNashville154741920-119
10DC United164662329-618
11Orlando City154561623-717
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta154472018216
13CF MontrealMontreal154472133-1216
14Chicago Fire162681528-1312
15New England RevolutionNew England132110926-177

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1686231181330
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy167723023728
3Los Angeles FCLos Angeles158342719827
4Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd147432419525
5Austin FCAustin166552020023
6Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver156452218422
7Colorado RapidsColorado166462829-122
8Houston DynamoHouston156361616021
9Portland TimbersPortland165473030019
10Seattle SoundersSeattle164661919018
11St Louis City143742022-216
12Dallas143471723-613
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas152582328-511
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes1632112439-1511


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