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Major League Soccer
Apr 21, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Stade Saputo
Orlando City

Montreal
2 - 2
Orlando City

Toye (16'), Lassiter (88')
Sosa (10'), Sirois (20'), Waterman (77'), Lassiter (86')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Torres (22' pen.), Angulo (90+2')
Jansson (8'), Araujo (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between CF Montreal and Orlando City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Montreal 2-1 Cincinnati
Sunday, April 14 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: CF Montreal 1-1 Orlando City

Both sides have experienced their share of hardships to this stage of the season, though they have each been relatively resilient at the same time. That resilience has us leaning towards a draw for these two teams, who are usually fairly resolute at the back despite what many of their results this year may indicate. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 42.72%. A win for Orlando City had a probability of 32.57% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.73%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Orlando City win was 1-2 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
CF MontrealDrawOrlando City
42.72% (-0.156 -0.16) 24.71% (0.055 0.05) 32.57% (0.098000000000006 0.1)
Both teams to score 57.88% (-0.165 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.89% (-0.229 -0.23)45.11% (0.226 0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.54% (-0.219 -0.22)67.46% (0.217 0.22)
CF Montreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.82% (-0.16900000000001 -0.17)21.17% (0.166 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.95% (-0.261 -0.26)54.04% (0.258 0.26)
Orlando City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.43% (-0.052000000000007 -0.05)26.57% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.21% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)61.78% (0.065999999999995 0.07)
Score Analysis
    CF Montreal 42.72%
    Orlando City 32.57%
    Draw 24.7%
CF MontrealDrawOrlando City
2-1 @ 8.99% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-0 @ 8.73% (0.041 0.04)
2-0 @ 6.78% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 4.65% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-0 @ 3.51% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.08% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.81% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.36% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.2% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 42.72%
1-1 @ 11.57% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.95% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.63% (0.054 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.36% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.7%
1-2 @ 7.67% (0.014 0.01)
0-1 @ 7.46% (0.062 0.06)
0-2 @ 4.94% (0.034 0.03)
1-3 @ 3.39% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.63% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.18% (0.012 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.12% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 32.57%

Head to Head
Feb 25, 2024 12.30am
Oct 1, 2023 12.30am
Orlando City
3-0
Montreal
Sirois (19' og.), Dan Thor­halls­son (50'), Torres (54')
Enrique (68'), Araujo (75')

Campbell (24'), Corbo (60'), Saliba (69')
Oct 17, 2022 1am
First Round
Montreal
2-0
Orlando City
Kone (68'), Mihailovic (90+9' pen.)
May 7, 2022 9pm
Montreal
4-1
Orlando City
Waterman (21'), Mihailovic (52'), Torres (81'), Brault-Guillard (84')
Waterman (24'), Mihailovic (42'), Quioto (55'), Piette (79')
Moutinho (72')
Kara (68'), Williams (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1383235201527
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati127321510524
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls125522018220
4Toronto126151617-119
5DC United124531919017
6New York City FCNY City125251414017
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC125251313017
8Columbus Crew113621311215
9Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia113532119214
10Atlanta UnitedAtlanta113351614212
11Orlando City113351420-612
12CF MontrealMontreal113351523-812
13Nashville SCNashville112541419-511
14Chicago Fire122461222-1010
15New England RevolutionNew England11218922-137

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake126422011922
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd106221711620
3Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy125522319420
4Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver115331813518
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles125342219318
6Colorado RapidsColorado125342018218
7Houston DynamoHouston115241111017
8St Louis City113711815316
9Austin FCAustin124441515016
10Seattle SoundersSeattle123451514113
11Sporting Kansas CityKansas122551921-211
12Dallas113261216-411
13Portland TimbersPortland122462125-410
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes123182028-810


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