Major League Soccer
Aug 18, 2022 at 1am UK
Yankee Stadium
We said: New York City FC 3-1 Charlotte FC
New York City will be desperate to bounce back from successive defeats, and we are expecting them to triumph on Tuesday night. Charlotte are capable of causing problems, but we are finding it difficult to back anything other than a home success in this contest.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 75.53%. A draw had a probability of 15% and a win for Charlotte FC had a probability of 9.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.61%) and 2-1 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7%), while for a Charlotte FC win it was 1-2 (2.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
Result |
New York City FC | Draw | Charlotte FC |
75.53% ( 0.61) | 15% ( -0.22) | 9.47% ( -0.39) |
Both teams to score 51.59% ( -0.81) |
66.19% ( -0.2) | 33.81% ( 0.2) |
44.35% ( -0.23) | 55.65% ( 0.23) |
92.52% ( 0.08) | 7.48% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
73.13% ( 0.2) | 26.88% ( -0.2) |
55.76% ( -0.92) | 44.24% ( 0.92) |