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New York City
Major League Soccer
Apr 21, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Citi Field
DC United

NY City
2 - 0
DC United

Rodriguez (20'), Fernandez (90+1')
Bakrar (63')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Akinmboni (34'), Bartlett (50')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between New York City FC and DC United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: NY City 2-0 New England
Sunday, April 14 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: DC United 2-3 Orlando City
Sunday, April 14 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: New York City FC 2-1 DC United

New York should have a lot more confidence following their performance last weekend, and we believe their overall individual quality will be able to outlast a DC side, who have looked better than their recent results suggest, but without Klich, may have difficulty unlocking the opposing backline. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 58.82%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for DC United had a probability of 18.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.68%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.74%), while for a DC United win it was 0-1 (5.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that New York City FC would win this match.

Result
New York City FCDrawDC United
58.82% (0.036000000000001 0.04) 22.59% (0.0020000000000024 0) 18.58% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Both teams to score 50.61% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52% (-0.061 -0.06)48% (0.061 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.83% (-0.055 -0.05)70.17% (0.055000000000007 0.06)
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.02% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)15.98% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.72% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)45.28% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
DC United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.24% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)39.76% (0.081000000000003 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.57% (-0.073 -0.07)76.43% (0.074000000000012 0.07)
Score Analysis
    New York City FC 58.82%
    DC United 18.58%
    Draw 22.59%
New York City FCDrawDC United
1-0 @ 11.65% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-0 @ 10.68% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.85% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 6.53% (0.011 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.02% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 2.99% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 2.78% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.76% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
4-2 @ 1.27% (-0.004 -0)
5-0 @ 1.1% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 1.01% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 58.82%
1-1 @ 10.74%
0-0 @ 6.35% (0.016 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.54% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 22.59%
0-1 @ 5.86% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-2 @ 4.96% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.7% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 1.52% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.4% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 18.58%

How you voted: NY City vs DC United

New York City FC
100%
Draw
0.0%
DC United
0.0%
6
Head to Head
Oct 8, 2023 12.30am
DC United
2-0
NY City
Klich (45'), Durkin (62')
Birnbaum (45+1'), Canouse (67'), Klich (90+2')

O'Toole (74'), Perea (90+6')
Mar 18, 2023 11.30pm
May 19, 2022 12.30am
Oct 24, 2021 12.30am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1383235201527
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati127321510524
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls125522018220
4Toronto126151617-119
5DC United124531919017
6New York City FCNY City125251414017
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC125251313017
8Columbus Crew113621311215
9Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia113532119214
10Atlanta UnitedAtlanta113351614212
11Orlando City113351420-612
12CF MontrealMontreal113351523-812
13Nashville SCNashville112541419-511
14Chicago Fire122461222-1010
15New England RevolutionNew England11218922-137

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake126422011922
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd106221711620
3Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy125522319420
4Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver115331813518
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles125342219318
6Colorado RapidsColorado125342018218
7Houston DynamoHouston115241111017
8St Louis City113711815316
9Austin FCAustin124441515016
10Seattle SoundersSeattle123451514113
11Sporting Kansas CityKansas122551921-211
12Dallas113261216-411
13Portland TimbersPortland122462125-410
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes123182028-810


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