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MLS header WWW

Major League Soccer
New York City
Major League Soccer
Mar 12, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Yankee Stadium
Inter Miami

NY City
1 - 0
Inter Miami

McVey (36' og.)
Cufre (32'), Ilencic (53'), Pellegrini (70'), Gray (77')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Negri (6'), Mota (47'), Yedlin (51'), Krivtsov (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between New York City FC and Inter Miami, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

New York City FC

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last Game: Chicago Fire 1-1 NY City
Sunday, March 5 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Inter Miami

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last Game: Inter Miami 2-0 Philadelphia
Sunday, March 5 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: New York City FC 2-1 Inter Miami

 Bringing back two veterans familiar with the New York way of playing should improve the Pigeons' across the board, while we believe Talles Magno could be due for a big match. The Herons have got the job done, but they have still allowed some quality scoring opportunities, while playing on the road is not their strong suit.

How to watch

You can watch New York City FC vs. Inter Miami and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 61.39%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Inter Miami had a probability of 17.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.69%) and 1-0 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.61%), while for a Inter Miami win it was 1-2 (4.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that New York City FC would win this match.

Result
New York City FCDrawInter Miami
61.39% (-0.337 -0.34) 20.62% (0.155 0.16) 17.99% (0.184 0.18)
Both teams to score 56.06% (-0.16999999999999 -0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.78% (-0.4 -0.4)40.21% (0.402 0.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.41% (-0.412 -0.41)62.58% (0.415 0.41)
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.37% (-0.21900000000001 -0.22)12.63% (0.22 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.24% (-0.456 -0.46)38.76% (0.458 0.46)
Inter Miami Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.16% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)35.83% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.39% (-0.035 -0.04)72.61% (0.036999999999992 0.04)
Score Analysis
    New York City FC 61.39%
    Inter Miami 17.99%
    Draw 20.62%
New York City FCDrawInter Miami
2-1 @ 9.94% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.69% (0.016 0.02)
1-0 @ 9.36% (0.093999999999999 0.09)
3-1 @ 6.86% (-0.053 -0.05)
3-0 @ 6.68% (-0.045 -0.04)
4-1 @ 3.55% (-0.059 -0.06)
3-2 @ 3.52% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-0 @ 3.46% (-0.054 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.82% (-0.032 -0.03)
5-1 @ 1.47% (-0.037 -0.04)
5-0 @ 1.43% (-0.035 -0.04)
Other @ 3.62%
Total : 61.39%
1-1 @ 9.61% (0.087999999999999 0.09)
2-2 @ 5.1% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 4.53% (0.084000000000001 0.08)
3-3 @ 1.2% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 20.62%
1-2 @ 4.93% (0.04 0.04)
0-1 @ 4.64% (0.081 0.08)
0-2 @ 2.38% (0.039 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.75% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 1.69% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 17.99%

How you voted: NY City vs Inter Miami

New York City FC
46.2%
Draw
15.4%
Inter Miami
38.5%
13
Head to Head
Oct 18, 2022 12am
First Round
NY City
3-0
Inter Miami
Pereira (63'), Moralez (69'), Heber (90+2')

Lassiter (58')
Aug 14, 2022 1am
Inter Miami
3-2
NY City
Pozuelo (39', 84'), Lassiter (63')
Gregore (32'), Taylor (48'), Pozuelo (84')
Magno (34'), Andrade (45+2')
Morales (41'), Amundsen (55'), Chanot (77'), Rodriguez (86')
Jul 24, 2022 12am
NY City
2-0
Inter Miami
Moralez (12'), Heber (75')
Morales (14')
Oct 30, 2021 6.30pm
Inter Miami
1-3
NY City
Figal (56')
Shea (29'), Gregore (45+4'), Gonzalez Pirez (81')
Castellanos (33', 60'), Magno (83')
Callens (52'), Medina (57'), Deila (76')
Aug 15, 2021 1am
NY City
2-0
Inter Miami
Castellanos (21', 45+1' pen.)
Meineche (10'), Parks (66')

Gregore (41'), Leerdam (45+1'), Gibbs (54')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1594236201631
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati149321911830
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls146532521423
4New York City FCNY City147251816223
5Toronto147162120122
6Columbus Crew135621913621
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC146351413121
8Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia134542521417
9DC United144552024-417
10Orlando City134451520-516
11Nashville SCNashville133641720-315
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta133461716113
13CF MontrealMontreal133371731-1412
14Chicago Fire142481326-1310
15New England RevolutionNew England12219925-167

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1484227141328
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd127322114724
3Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy145722521422
4Austin FCAustin146441917222
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles136342419521
6Colorado RapidsColorado146352423121
7Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver135441915419
8Houston DynamoHouston135351213-118
9St Louis City133731920-116
10Seattle SoundersSeattle143561617-114
11Portland TimbersPortland143472629-313
12Dallas123361317-412
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas132562124-311
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes1431102233-1110
> Full Version


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