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MLS header WWW

Major League Soccer
Orlando City
Major League Soccer
May 18, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Orlando City Stadium
New York City

Orlando City
1 - 1
NY City

Kara (7')
Smith (33'), McGuire (67')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Segal (89')
Chanot (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between Orlando City and New York City FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Orlando City

All competitions
Last Game: Columbus Crew 2-2 Orlando City
Sunday, May 14 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

New York City FC

All competitions
Last Game: NY Red Bulls 1-0 NY City
Sunday, May 14 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Orlando City 1-0 New York City FC

 Orlando City's disappointing home record, coupled with New York City's poor form on their travels, makes this a very tough match to call, but we expect the hosts to eke out a narrow victory. The Lions managed to win their last match on home soil, while the Pigeons have recorded two draws and five defeats in seven matches, and there have been no recent signs of improvement.

How to watch

You can watch Orlando City vs. New York City FC and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 44.48%. A win for New York City FC had a probability of 29.58% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest New York City FC win was 0-1 (8.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.

Result
Orlando CityDrawNew York City FC
44.48% (0.027999999999999 0.03) 25.95% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04) 29.58% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Both teams to score 52.37% (0.14 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.35% (0.178 0.18)51.66% (-0.174 -0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.56% (0.154 0.15)73.44% (-0.14999999999999 -0.15)
Orlando City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.86% (0.090000000000003 0.09)23.14% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.99% (0.13 0.13)57.01% (-0.126 -0.13)
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.14% (0.10599999999999 0.11)31.86% (-0.101 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.7% (0.121 0.12)68.3% (-0.11800000000001 -0.12)
Score Analysis
    Orlando City 44.48%
    New York City FC 29.58%
    Draw 25.95%
Orlando CityDrawNew York City FC
1-0 @ 10.79% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.03% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.9% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.41% (0.015 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.85% (0.0029999999999997 0)
3-2 @ 2.52% (0.016 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.61% (0.01 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.41% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 0.92% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 44.48%
1-1 @ 12.34% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.37% (-0.052 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.17% (0.02 0.02)
3-3 @ 0.96% (0.009 0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.95%
0-1 @ 8.43% (-0.035 -0.04)
1-2 @ 7.06% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.82% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.69% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.97% (0.013 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.84% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 29.58%

How you voted: Orlando City vs NY City

Orlando City
57.1%
Draw
42.9%
New York City FC
0.0%
7
Head to Head
Oct 2, 2022 6pm
NY City
2-1
Orlando City
Callens (66'), Magno (81')
Torres (47')
Araujo (57')
Aug 29, 2022 12.30am
Orlando City
2-1
NY City
Urso (7'), Akindele (90+6')
Carlos (50')
Moralez (53')
Haak (45+1'), Moralez (89'), Chanot (90+3')
Jul 25, 2021 11pm
gameweek 19
NY City
5-0
Orlando City
Medina (40'), Tajouri (53'), Moralez (66'), Meineche (79'), Castellanos (82')
Acevedo (74')

Carlos (41'), Schlegel (86')
May 8, 2021 11pm
gameweek 6
Orlando City
1-1
NY City
Nani (52')
Smith (34')
Castellanos (77' pen.)
Sands (64')
Nov 21, 2020 5pm
First Round
Orlando City
1-1
NY City
 Orlando City win 4-3 on penalties
Nani (5' pen.)
Carlos (71'), Ruan (77'), Jansson (90+4'), Perea (90+6'), Gallese (103')
Ruan (87')
Chanot (8')
Castellanos (70'), Mackay-Steven (88'), Ibeagha (120+2')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1594236201631
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati149321911830
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls146532521423
4New York City FCNY City147251816223
5Toronto147162120122
6Columbus Crew135621913621
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC146351413121
8Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia134542521417
9DC United144552024-417
10Orlando City134451520-516
11Nashville SCNashville133641720-315
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta133461716113
13CF MontrealMontreal133371731-1412
14Chicago Fire142481326-1310
15New England RevolutionNew England12219925-167

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1484227141328
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd127322114724
3Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy145722521422
4Austin FCAustin146441917222
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles136342419521
6Colorado RapidsColorado146352423121
7Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver135441915419
8Houston DynamoHouston135351213-118
9St Louis City133731920-116
10Seattle SoundersSeattle143561617-114
11Portland TimbersPortland143472629-313
12Dallas123361317-412
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas132562124-311
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes1431102233-1110
> Full Version


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