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San Jose Earthquakes
Major League Soccer
Jun 11, 2023 at 3.30am UK
Stanford Stadium
Philadelphia Union

Earthquakes
2 - 1
Philadelphia

Ebobisse (8'), Trauco (57')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Lowe (17')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between San Jose Earthquakes and Philadelphia Union, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Colorado 0-0 Earthquakes
Sunday, June 4 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Philadelphia 3-0 Montreal
Sunday, June 4 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: San Jose Earthquakes 1-1 Philadelphia Union

Due to their defensive solidity, San Jose can stay unbeaten at home this season by restricting in-form Philadelphia to a low-scoring draw. The visitors boast a dangerous attack, but their hosts have shown more resilience of late and are particularly tough to beat at PayPal Park.

How to watch

You can watch San Jose Earthquakes vs. Philadelphia Union and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 42.58%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 31.08% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 0-1 (8.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that San Jose Earthquakes would win this match.

Result
San Jose EarthquakesDrawPhiladelphia Union
42.58% (-1.278 -1.28) 26.34% (-0.193 -0.19) 31.08% (1.47 1.47)
Both teams to score 51.88% (1.285 1.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.37% (1.331 1.33)52.63% (-1.332 -1.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.72% (1.127 1.13)74.28% (-1.127 -1.13)
San Jose Earthquakes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.51% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)24.49% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.05% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)58.95% (0.064 0.06)
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.71% (1.743 1.74)31.29% (-1.744 -1.74)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.36% (1.979 1.98)67.64% (-1.979 -1.98)
Score Analysis
    San Jose Earthquakes 42.57%
    Philadelphia Union 31.08%
    Draw 26.33%
San Jose EarthquakesDrawPhiladelphia Union
1-0 @ 10.77% (-0.6 -0.6)
2-1 @ 8.81% (-0.064 -0.06)
2-0 @ 7.58% (-0.429 -0.43)
3-1 @ 4.13% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.56% (-0.206 -0.21)
3-2 @ 2.4% (0.093 0.09)
4-1 @ 1.45% (-0.015 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.25% (-0.074 -0.07)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 42.57%
1-1 @ 12.52% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-0 @ 7.66% (-0.412 -0.41)
2-2 @ 5.12% (0.203 0.2)
3-3 @ 0.93% (0.078 0.08)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.33%
0-1 @ 8.9% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
1-2 @ 7.28% (0.299 0.3)
0-2 @ 5.17% (0.219 0.22)
1-3 @ 2.82% (0.242 0.24)
0-3 @ 2% (0.175 0.18)
2-3 @ 1.98% (0.168 0.17)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 31.08%

How you voted: Earthquakes vs Philadelphia

San Jose Earthquakes
30.8%
Draw
30.8%
Philadelphia Union
38.5%
13
Head to Head
Mar 13, 2022 12.30am
Mar 14, 2020 11.30pm
Sep 26, 2019 4am
gameweek 39
Earthquakes
1-2
Philadelphia
Yueill (35')
Judson (23')
Bedoya (70'), Przybylko (76')
Wagner (7'), Medunjanin (45'), Przybylko (57')
Apr 8, 2018 12am
gameweek 6
Philadelphia
1-1
Earthquakes
Bedoya (64')
Accam (23')
Eriksson (37')
Quintana (56'), Wondolowski (82')
Cummings (96')
Aug 20, 2017 3.30am
Earthquakes
2-2
Philadelphia
Qazaishvili (3'), Wondolowski (90' pen.)
Jungwirth (13'), Godoy (34'), Thompson (73'), Wondolowski (83')
Elliott (35'), Alberg (55')
Bedoya (74'), Gaddis (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami16104238211734
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati1510322314933
3New York City FCNY City158251916326
4Columbus Crew146622113824
5New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls146532521423
6Charlotte FCCharlotte FC156451413122
7Toronto157172424022
8Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia144642521418
9DC United154652125-418
10Nashville SCNashville143741720-316
11Orlando City144461522-716
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta143471717013
13CF MontrealMontreal143471731-1413
14Chicago Fire152581427-1311
15New England RevolutionNew England132110926-177

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1585230171329
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd137422417725
3Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy156722722525
4Los Angeles FCLos Angeles147342519624
5Austin FCAustin156542018223
6Colorado RapidsColorado156452726122
7Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver145452017319
8Houston DynamoHouston145361315-218
9Seattle SoundersSeattle154561818017
10Portland TimbersPortland154472830-216
11St Louis City143742022-216
12Dallas133461620-413
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas142572226-411
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes1532102334-1111


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