Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vancouver Whitecaps win with a probability of 61.56%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 17.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vancouver Whitecaps win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.53%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.02%), while for a San Jose Earthquakes win it was 0-1 (5.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Vancouver Whitecaps | Draw | San Jose Earthquakes |
61.56% ( 0.16) | 21.17% ( -0.08) | 17.26% ( -0.08) |
Both teams to score 52.66% ( 0.12) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.01% ( 0.24) | 43.99% ( -0.23) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.62% ( 0.23) | 66.37% ( -0.23) |
Vancouver Whitecaps Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.23% ( 0.13) | 13.77% ( -0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.93% ( 0.25) | 41.06% ( -0.25) |
San Jose Earthquakes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.07% ( 0.05) | 38.93% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.34% ( 0.05) | 75.65% ( -0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Vancouver Whitecaps | Draw | San Jose Earthquakes |
1-0 @ 10.62% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 10.53% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.94% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.96% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 6.57% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 3.45% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 3.26% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.1% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.54% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 1.37% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.29% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.92% Total : 61.55% | 1-1 @ 10.02% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 5.36% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 4.69% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 21.17% | 0-1 @ 5.06% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 4.73% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.39% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.49% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.48% ( 0) Other @ 2.13% Total : 17.26% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 38 | 21 | 17 | 34 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 33 |
3 | New York City FCNY City | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 26 |
4 | Columbus Crew | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 24 |
5 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 23 |
6 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 22 |
7 | Toronto | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 22 |
8 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 18 |
9 | DC United | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
10 | Nashville SCNashville | 14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 16 |
11 | Orlando City | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 16 |
12 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 13 |
13 | CF MontrealMontreal | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 13 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 11 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 13 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 26 | -17 | 7 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 30 | 17 | 13 | 29 |
2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 25 |
3 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 27 | 22 | 5 | 25 |
4 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 24 |
5 | Austin FCAustin | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 23 |
6 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 22 |
7 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 19 |
8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 18 |
9 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 17 |
10 | Portland TimbersPortland | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 16 |
11 | St Louis City | 14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 16 |
12 | Dallas | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 13 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 11 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 11 |