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Premier League | Gameweek 8
Sep 16, 2022 at 8pm UK
Villa Park
Southampton logo

Aston Villa
1 - 0
Southampton

Ramsey (41')
Coutinho (45+4'), Ramsey (58'), Young (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Premier League clash between Aston Villa and Southampton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Aston Villa 1-1 Man City
Saturday, September 3 at 5.30pm in Premier League

We said: Aston Villa 1-1 Southampton

There is not a huge difference between these two teams in terms of quality, and we are expecting an even game on Friday night. Both managers would likely be content with a draw if it were offered ahead of kickoff, and we can see a stalemate taking place here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 40.48%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 33.22% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Southampton win was 0-1 (9.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Aston Villa in this match.

Result
Aston VillaDrawSouthampton
40.48% (-0.206 -0.21) 26.29% (0.047000000000001 0.05) 33.22% (0.161 0.16)
Both teams to score 52.77% (-0.105 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.17% (-0.153 -0.15)51.83% (0.15600000000001 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.41% (-0.132 -0.13)73.58% (0.134 0.13)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.79% (-0.178 -0.18)25.21% (0.18 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.05% (-0.247 -0.25)59.95% (0.249 0.25)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.56% (0.028000000000006 0.03)29.44% (-0.026 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.56% (0.033999999999999 0.03)65.44% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa 40.47%
    Southampton 33.22%
    Draw 26.29%
Aston VillaDrawSouthampton
1-0 @ 10.22% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.62% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 7.05% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.96% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-0 @ 3.24% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.42% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.36% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.12% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 40.47%
1-1 @ 12.5% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.42% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.27% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.99% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.29%
0-1 @ 9.08% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
1-2 @ 7.65% (0.019 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.55% (0.043 0.04)
1-3 @ 3.12% (0.011 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.26% (0.019 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.15% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 0.95% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 33.22%

How you voted: Aston Villa vs Southampton

Aston Villa
54.1%
Draw
26.1%
Southampton
19.9%
357
Head to Head
Mar 5, 2022 3pm
Aston Villa
4-0
Southampton
Watkins (9'), Luiz (44'), Coutinho (52'), Ings (54')
Watkins (74')

Romeu (68')
Nov 5, 2021 8pm
Nov 1, 2020 12pm
Aston Villa
3-4
Southampton
Mings (62'), Watkins (90+3' pen.), Grealish (90+7')
Cash (43')
Vestergaard (20'), Ward-Prowse (33', 45'), Ings (58')
Ward-Prowse (12'), Diallo (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Manchester CityMan City37277393336088
2Arsenal37275589286186
3Liverpool372310484414379
4Aston Villa37208976562068
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs371961271611063
6Chelsea371791175621360
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle371761481602157
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd37176145558-357
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham371410135971-1252
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton371212135560-548
11Bournemouth37139155365-1248
12Crystal Palace371210155258-646
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves37137175063-1346
14Fulham37128175159-844
15Everton37139153949-1040
16Brentford37109185461-739
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3789204766-1929
18Luton TownLuton3768235081-3126
RBurnley3759234076-3624
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd37372735101-6616


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