Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Ham United win with a probability of 49.98%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 25.14% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a West Ham United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.5%) and 0-2 (8.94%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 1-0 (7.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that West Ham United would win this match.
Result | ||
Aston Villa | Draw | West Ham United |
25.14% | 24.89% | 49.98% |
Both teams to score 52.32% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.87% | 50.13% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.9% | 72.09% |
Aston Villa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.46% | 34.54% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.74% | 71.26% |
West Ham United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.93% | 20.07% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.7% | 52.3% |
Score Analysis |
Aston Villa | Draw | West Ham United |
1-0 @ 7.37% 2-1 @ 6.29% 2-0 @ 3.92% 3-1 @ 2.23% 3-2 @ 1.79% 3-0 @ 1.39% Other @ 2.15% Total : 25.14% | 1-1 @ 11.83% 0-0 @ 6.93% 2-2 @ 5.05% 3-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.88% | 0-1 @ 11.13% 1-2 @ 9.5% 0-2 @ 8.94% 1-3 @ 5.09% 0-3 @ 4.79% 2-3 @ 2.7% 1-4 @ 2.04% 0-4 @ 1.92% 2-4 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.78% Total : 49.97% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 37 | 27 | 5 | 5 | 89 | 28 | 61 | 86 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 36 | 26 | 7 | 3 | 91 | 33 | 58 | 85 |
3 | Liverpool | 36 | 23 | 9 | 4 | 81 | 38 | 43 | 78 |
4 | Aston Villa | 36 | 20 | 7 | 9 | 73 | 53 | 20 | 67 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 36 | 19 | 6 | 11 | 71 | 59 | 12 | 63 |
6 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 36 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 79 | 57 | 22 | 57 |
7 | Chelsea | 36 | 16 | 9 | 11 | 73 | 61 | 12 | 57 |
8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 36 | 16 | 6 | 14 | 52 | 56 | -4 | 54 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 59 | 71 | -12 | 52 |
10 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 36 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 54 | 58 | -4 | 48 |
11 | Bournemouth | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 53 | 65 | -12 | 48 |
12 | Crystal Palace | 37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 52 | 58 | -6 | 46 |
13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 37 | 13 | 7 | 17 | 50 | 63 | -13 | 46 |
14 | Fulham | 37 | 12 | 8 | 17 | 51 | 59 | -8 | 44 |
15 | Everton | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 40 |
16 | Brentford | 37 | 10 | 9 | 18 | 54 | 61 | -7 | 39 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 37 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 47 | 66 | -19 | 29 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 37 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 50 | 81 | -31 | 26 |
R | Burnley | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 40 | 76 | -36 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 37 | 3 | 7 | 27 | 35 | 101 | -66 | 16 |
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