Premier League | Gameweek 14
Dec 1, 2021 at 7.30pm UK
St Mary's Stadium
Southampton2 - 2Leicester
We said: Southampton 1-1 Leicester City
Going down 4-0 to Liverpool should not be a trigger for Southampton to press the panic button, especially given how defensively sound they have been on home soil so far this term. It is difficult to know what to expect from this inconsistent Leicester side - except for goals at both ends in away fixtures - and we can see a refreshed Southampton XI coming away with a respectable point. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 40%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 32.51% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.33%) and 0-2 (7.39%). The likeliest Southampton win was 1-0 (10.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Southampton | Draw | Leicester City |
| 32.51% | 27.48% | 40% |
| Both teams to score 48.88% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
