Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 72.96%. A draw had a probability of 16.1% and a win for SC Farense had a probability of 10.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 3-0 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.46%), while for a SC Farense win it was 1-2 (3.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Braga in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Braga.
Result | ||
Braga | Draw | SC Farense |
72.96% ( -1.72) | 16.08% ( 0.48) | 10.96% ( 1.24) |
Both teams to score 53.38% ( 3.14) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.55% ( 1.57) | 34.45% ( -1.57) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.63% ( 1.74) | 56.37% ( -1.75) |
Braga Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.83% ( 0) | 8.17% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
71.37% ( 0.02) | 28.63% ( -0.02) |
SC Farense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.13% ( 3.41) | 41.87% ( -3.42) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.68% ( 2.84) | 78.32% ( -2.84) |
Score Analysis |
Braga | Draw | SC Farense |
2-0 @ 10.72% ( -0.88) 2-1 @ 9.34% ( 0.15) 3-0 @ 8.96% ( -0.73) 1-0 @ 8.57% ( -0.7) 3-1 @ 7.8% ( 0.13) 4-0 @ 5.61% ( -0.46) 4-1 @ 4.89% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 3.4% ( 0.36) 5-0 @ 2.81% ( -0.23) 5-1 @ 2.45% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 2.13% ( 0.22) 6-0 @ 1.17% ( -0.1) 5-2 @ 1.07% ( 0.11) 6-1 @ 1.02% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.03% Total : 72.95% | 1-1 @ 7.46% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 4.07% ( 0.43) 0-0 @ 3.42% ( -0.28) 3-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.18) Other @ 0.15% Total : 16.08% | 1-2 @ 3.25% ( 0.34) 0-1 @ 2.98% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 1.3% ( 0.13) 2-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.22) 1-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.17) Other @ 1.32% Total : 10.96% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 33 | 28 | 3 | 2 | 93 | 29 | 64 | 87 |
2 | Benfica | 33 | 25 | 4 | 4 | 76 | 27 | 49 | 79 |
3 | Porto | 33 | 21 | 6 | 6 | 62 | 27 | 35 | 69 |
4 | Braga | 33 | 21 | 5 | 7 | 71 | 49 | 22 | 68 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 33 | 18 | 6 | 9 | 49 | 37 | 12 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 33 | 15 | 7 | 11 | 34 | 34 | 0 | 52 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 53 | 47 | 6 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 33 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 42 |
9 | SC FarenseFarense | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 37 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 33 | 6 | 18 | 9 | 37 | 42 | -5 | 36 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 36 |
12 | Casa Pia | 33 | 9 | 8 | 16 | 36 | 49 | -13 | 35 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 56 | -8 | 33 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 37 | 60 | -23 | 31 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 33 | 6 | 12 | 15 | 32 | 53 | -21 | 30 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 36 | 71 | -35 | 29 |
R | Vizela | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 64 | -30 | 25 |
R | ChavesChaves | 33 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 31 | 69 | -38 | 23 |
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