Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
4 | Portimonense | 4 | 4 | 9 |
5 | Estoril Praia | 4 | 4 | 7 |
6 | Chaves | 4 | 2 | 7 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
12 | Gil Vicente | 4 | 0 | 5 |
13 | Sporting Lisbon | 4 | -2 | 4 |
14 | Rio Ave | 4 | -2 | 4 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 62.87%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 16.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.01%) and 1-2 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.93%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 1-0 (4.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
Result | ||
Estoril Praia | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
16.21% ( -0.36) | 20.92% ( -0) | 62.87% ( 0.37) |
Both teams to score 51.23% ( -0.77) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.24% ( -0.63) | 44.76% ( 0.63) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.88% ( -0.61) | 67.12% ( 0.61) |
Estoril Praia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.31% ( -0.83) | 40.69% ( 0.83) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.72% ( -0.76) | 77.28% ( 0.76) |
Sporting Lisbon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.38% ( -0.09) | 13.62% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.23% ( -0.18) | 40.77% ( 0.18) |
Score Analysis |
Estoril Praia | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
1-0 @ 4.98% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 4.47% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 2.24% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 1.34% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 1.34% ( -0.07) Other @ 1.84% Total : 16.21% | 1-1 @ 9.93% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.54% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 4.45% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.99% Total : 20.92% | 0-1 @ 11.04% ( 0.26) 0-2 @ 11.01% ( 0.23) 1-2 @ 9.9% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 7.32% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 6.58% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 3.65% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 3.28% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.96% ( -0.08) 2-4 @ 1.48% ( -0.05) 0-5 @ 1.46% ( 0.02) 1-5 @ 1.31% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.88% Total : 62.86% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 31 | 26 | 3 | 2 | 89 | 29 | 60 | 81 |
2 | Benfica | 31 | 24 | 4 | 3 | 71 | 25 | 46 | 76 |
3 | Porto | 31 | 19 | 6 | 6 | 57 | 26 | 31 | 63 |
4 | Braga | 31 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 62 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 31 | 18 | 6 | 7 | 46 | 32 | 14 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 32 | 34 | -2 | 46 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 45 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 31 | 8 | 12 | 11 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 36 |
9 | Casa Pia | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 35 |
10 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 31 | 9 | 6 | 16 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 33 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 31 | 5 | 17 | 9 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 32 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 32 |
13 | SC FarenseFarense | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 39 | 44 | -5 | 31 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 35 | 57 | -22 | 30 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 30 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 29 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 34 | 66 | -32 | 28 |
17 | ChavesChaves | 31 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 31 | 65 | -34 | 23 |
18 | Vizela | 31 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 30 | 63 | -33 | 22 |
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