Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 62.26%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Braga had a probability of 17.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.94%) and 1-0 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.56%), while for a Braga win it was 1-2 (4.78%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
Result | ||
Porto | Draw | Braga |
62.26% | 20.43% ( -0) | 17.31% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 55.29% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.44% ( 0.01) | 40.56% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.06% ( 0.01) | 62.94% ( -0.01) |
Porto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.51% ( 0) | 12.49% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.53% ( 0) | 38.46% ( -0) |
Braga Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.18% ( 0.01) | 36.81% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.4% ( 0.01) | 73.6% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Porto | Draw | Braga |
2-0 @ 9.95% ( -0) 2-1 @ 9.94% 1-0 @ 9.56% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.9% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.89% 4-0 @ 3.59% 4-1 @ 3.59% 3-2 @ 3.45% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.79% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.49% 5-1 @ 1.49% Other @ 3.62% Total : 62.26% | 1-1 @ 9.56% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.97% 0-0 @ 4.6% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( 0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 20.43% | 1-2 @ 4.78% 0-1 @ 4.59% 0-2 @ 2.3% 2-3 @ 1.66% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.59% ( 0) Other @ 2.4% Total : 17.31% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 30 | 26 | 2 | 2 | 87 | 27 | 60 | 80 |
2 | Benfica | 30 | 23 | 4 | 3 | 68 | 24 | 44 | 73 |
3 | Porto | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 55 | 24 | 31 | 62 |
4 | Braga | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 63 | 41 | 22 | 62 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 30 | 17 | 6 | 7 | 45 | 32 | 13 | 57 |
6 | AroucaArouca | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 45 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 43 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 30 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 33 | 38 | -5 | 36 |
9 | Casa Pia | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 35 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 31 | 5 | 17 | 9 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 32 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 32 |
12 | SC FarenseFarense | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 39 | 44 | -5 | 31 |
13 | BoavistaBoavista | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 30 |
14 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 45 | 52 | -7 | 30 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 30 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 29 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 34 | 64 | -30 | 28 |
17 | ChavesChaves | 31 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 31 | 65 | -34 | 23 |
18 | Vizela | 31 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 30 | 63 | -33 | 22 |
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