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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Chaves
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Portimonense
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vizela
Porto
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 34
May 27, 2023 at 6pm UK
Estádio Do Dragão
Vitoria de Guimaraes

Porto
3 - 0
Guimaraes

Taremi (8'), Otavio (32'), Evanilson (39')
Otavio (72'), Uribe (87')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Silva (40'), Freitas (44'), Tounkara (62'), Silva (71'), Sa (72'), Indio (89')
Handel (2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Porto and Vitoria de Guimaraes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Porto

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Famalicao 2-4 Porto
Saturday, May 20 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Vitoria de Guimaraes

All competitions
Last Game: Guimaraes 1-0 Gil Vicente
Sunday, May 21 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Porto 3-1 Vitoria de Guimaraes

 Given the form of both sides ahead of Saturday's encounter, we are anticipating an entertaining contest with lots of goalmouth action. That said, we are backing Porto to carry the day come the end of the 90 minutes, although it remains to be seen if that would be enough for them to be crowned champions. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 69.21%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 12.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.77%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.49%), while for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win it was 0-1 (3.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.

Result
PortoDrawVitoria de Guimaraes
69.21% (0.059999999999988 0.06) 18.03% (-0.026 -0.03) 12.76% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Both teams to score 52.13% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.99% (0.055 0.05)39.01% (-0.053000000000004 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.66% (0.056999999999995 0.06)61.33% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.8% (0.031999999999996 0.03)10.2% (-0.029 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.51% (0.067000000000007 0.07)33.49% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.06% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)41.94% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.62% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)78.38% (0.012 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Porto 69.2%
    Vitoria de Guimaraes 12.76%
    Draw 18.03%
PortoDrawVitoria de Guimaraes
2-0 @ 11.14%
1-0 @ 9.77% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.69% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 8.48% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-1 @ 7.37% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
4-0 @ 4.84% (0.011 0.01)
4-1 @ 4.21% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.2% (0.0019999999999998 0)
5-0 @ 2.21% (0.008 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.92% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.83% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 4.56%
Total : 69.2%
1-1 @ 8.49% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.28% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.21% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 0.93%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 18.03%
0-1 @ 3.72% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-2 @ 3.69% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.62% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.22% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 1.07% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.46%
Total : 12.76%

How you voted: Porto vs Guimaraes

Porto
93.3%
Draw
6.7%
Vitoria de Guimaraes
0.0%
15
Head to Head
Jan 21, 2023 8.30pm
gameweek 17
Guimaraes
0-1
Porto

Janvier (17'), Silva (57'), Luz (71'), Safira (87'), Amaro (90'), Nogueira (90+2')
Mario (45+2')
Otavio (35'), Pepe (41'), Wendell (47'), Marcano (81')
Apr 10, 2022 6pm
gameweek 29
Guimaraes
0-1
Porto

Estupinan (12'), Janvier (73'), Esteves (88'), Duarte (90+8'), Rochinha (90+8')
Estupinan (80')
Taremi (36' pen.)
Otavio (30'), Costa (90+2')
Nov 28, 2021 8.30pm
gameweek 12
Porto
2-1
Guimaraes
Diaz (39'), Evanilson (60')
Sanusi (34'), Oliveira (45+4'), Wendell (80')
Edwards (36' pen.)
Amaro (11'), Handel (42'), Mumin (45+3'), Sacko (79'), Semedo (85')
Mumin (53')
Apr 22, 2021 9pm
gameweek 28
Porto
1-0
Guimaraes
Marega (49')
Mensah (55'), Marega (74')
Dec 29, 2020 9pm
gameweek 11
Guimaraes
2-3
Porto
Rochinha (7'), Estupinan (63')
Mensah (15'), Pepelu (26')
Taremi (42', 65'), Diaz (80')
Baro (12')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CSporting Lisbon34293296296790
2Benfica34255477284980
3Porto34226663273672
4Braga34215871502168
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes34196952381463
6MoreirenseMoreirense34167113635155
7AroucaArouca34137145450446
8FamalicaoFamalicao341012123741-442
9Casa Pia34108163850-1238
10SC FarenseFarense34107174651-537
11Rio AveRio Ave3461993843-537
12Gil Vicente3499164252-1036
13Estoril PraiaEstoril3496194958-933
14Estrela Amadora34712153353-2033
15BoavistaBoavista34711163962-2332
16PortimonensePortimonense3488183972-3332
RVizela34511183666-3026
RChavesChaves3458213172-4123
> Primeira Liga Full Table


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