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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Chaves
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Portimonense
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vizela
Farense logo
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 32
May 5, 2024 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio de Sao Luis
Estoril

Farense
3 - 2
Estoril

Silva (36'), Oliveira (45'), Duarte (65')
Falcao (43'), Isidoro (82'), Rossi (88')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Garcia (45+2'), Gomes (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between SC Farense and Estoril Praia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Estrela Amadora 0-3 Farense
Monday, April 29 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Estoril 1-0 Famalicao
Sunday, April 28 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

We said: SC Farense 2-1 Estoril Praia

Having both won their last outings, Farense and Estoril will head into the weekend with confidence as they look for a strong end to the season. However, the Canarinhos' form on the road is currently nothing to write home about and we see them struggling in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 41.59%. A win for SC Farense had a probability of 33.99% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.14%) and 0-2 (6.37%). The likeliest SC Farense win was 2-1 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that SC Farense would win this match.

Result
SC FarenseDrawEstoril Praia
33.99% (0.192 0.19) 24.41% (0.113 0.11) 41.59% (-0.298 -0.3)
Both teams to score 59.39% (-0.341 -0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.66% (-0.466 -0.47)43.34% (0.472 0.47)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.26% (-0.461 -0.46)65.74% (0.467 0.47)
SC Farense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.13% (-0.10899999999999 -0.11)24.87% (0.115 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.52% (-0.154 -0.15)59.48% (0.159 0.16)
Estoril Praia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.05% (-0.33199999999999 -0.33)20.95% (0.339 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.31% (-0.526 -0.53)53.69% (0.533 0.53)
Score Analysis
    SC Farense 33.99%
    Estoril Praia 41.59%
    Draw 24.41%
SC FarenseDrawEstoril Praia
2-1 @ 7.88% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
1-0 @ 7.25% (0.126 0.13)
2-0 @ 5.04% (0.071 0.07)
3-1 @ 3.66% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.86% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-0 @ 2.34% (0.025 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.27% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 0.99% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 33.99%
1-1 @ 11.33% (0.08 0.08)
2-2 @ 6.16% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-0 @ 5.21% (0.108 0.11)
3-3 @ 1.49% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.41%
1-2 @ 8.86% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-1 @ 8.14% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
0-2 @ 6.37% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 4.62% (-0.063 -0.06)
0-3 @ 3.32% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-3 @ 3.21% (-0.054 -0.05)
1-4 @ 1.8% (-0.043 -0.04)
0-4 @ 1.3% (-0.027 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.26% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 41.59%

How you voted: Farense vs Estoril

SC Farense
75.0%
Draw
25.0%
Estoril Praia
0.0%
8
Head to Head
Dec 30, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 15
Estoril
4-0
Farense
Marques (4', 47'), Araujo (45+5'), Parra (78')
Carne (22'), Holsgrove (30')

Falcao (24'), Pastor (54')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CSporting Lisbon33283293296487
2Benfica33254476274979
3Porto33216662273569
4Braga33215771492268
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes33186949371260
6MoreirenseMoreirense33157113434052
7AroucaArouca33137135347646
8FamalicaoFamalicao331012113639-342
9SC FarenseFarense33107164548-337
10Rio AveRio Ave3361893742-536
11Gil Vicente3399154251-936
12Casa Pia3398163649-1335
13Estoril PraiaEstoril3396184856-833
14BoavistaBoavista33710163760-2331
15Estrela Amadora33612153253-2130
16PortimonensePortimonense3378183671-3529
RVizela33510183464-3025
RChavesChaves3358203169-3823


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