Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 72.64%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 10.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.74%) and 2-1 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.85%), while for a Gil Vicente win it was 0-1 (3.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Sporting Lisbon.
Result | ||
Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Gil Vicente |
72.64% ( -0.12) | 16.63% ( 0.28) | 10.73% ( -0.16) |
Both teams to score 50.32% ( -1.72) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.09% ( -1.9) | 37.91% ( 1.89) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.83% ( -2.05) | 60.17% ( 2.05) |
Sporting Lisbon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.91% ( -0.5) | 9.1% ( 0.5) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
69.1% ( -1.21) | 30.9% ( 1.21) |
Gil Vicente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.35% ( -1.58) | 44.65% ( 1.58) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.35% ( -1.3) | 80.65% ( 1.3) |
Score Analysis |
Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Gil Vicente |
2-0 @ 11.67% ( 0.53) 1-0 @ 9.74% ( 0.65) 2-1 @ 9.41% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 9.33% ( 0.21) 3-1 @ 7.52% ( -0.16) 4-0 @ 5.59% ( -0) 4-1 @ 4.51% ( -0.21) 3-2 @ 3.03% ( -0.2) 5-0 @ 2.68% ( -0.07) 5-1 @ 2.16% ( -0.15) 4-2 @ 1.82% ( -0.17) 6-0 @ 1.07% ( -0.05) Other @ 4.12% Total : 72.64% | 1-1 @ 7.85% ( 0.2) 0-0 @ 4.06% ( 0.36) 2-2 @ 3.79% ( -0.16) Other @ 0.92% Total : 16.63% | 0-1 @ 3.27% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 3.17% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 1.32% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.09) Other @ 1.95% Total : 10.73% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 34 | 29 | 3 | 2 | 96 | 29 | 67 | 90 |
2 | Benfica | 34 | 25 | 5 | 4 | 77 | 28 | 49 | 80 |
3 | Porto | 34 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 63 | 27 | 36 | 72 |
4 | Braga | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 71 | 50 | 21 | 68 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 52 | 38 | 14 | 63 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 36 | 35 | 1 | 55 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 54 | 50 | 4 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 42 |
9 | Casa Pia | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 38 |
10 | SC FarenseFarense | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 46 | 51 | -5 | 37 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 34 | 6 | 19 | 9 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 37 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 42 | 52 | -10 | 36 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 33 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 33 | 53 | -20 | 33 |
15 | BoavistaBoavista | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 39 | 62 | -23 | 32 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 39 | 72 | -33 | 32 |
R | Vizela | 34 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 36 | 66 | -30 | 26 |
R | ChavesChaves | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 31 | 72 | -41 | 23 |
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