Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 63.66%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Arbroath had a probability of 15.76%.
The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.92%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.77%), while for an Arbroath win it was 0-1 (4.82%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Airdrieonians would win this match.
Result | ||
Airdrieonians | Draw | Arbroath |
63.66% ( -0.46) | 20.59% ( 0.22) | 15.76% ( 0.24) |
Both teams to score 51.31% ( -0.17) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.87% ( -0.51) | 44.13% ( 0.52) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.49% ( -0.5) | 66.51% ( 0.51) |
Airdrieonians Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.81% ( -0.29) | 13.19% ( 0.3) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.1% ( -0.59) | 39.9% ( 0.6) |
Arbroath Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.11% | 40.9% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.54% | 77.46% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Airdrieonians | Draw | Arbroath |
2-0 @ 11.06% 1-0 @ 10.92% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 9.9% ( 0) 3-0 @ 7.47% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 6.68% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 3.79% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 3.39% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.99% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 1.53% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.51% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 1.37% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.04% Total : 63.65% | 1-1 @ 9.77% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 5.39% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 4.42% ( 0) Other @ 1% Total : 20.59% | 0-1 @ 4.82% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 4.37% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 2.16% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 1.32% 1-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.79% Total : 15.76% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 36 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 73 | 23 | 50 | 75 |
2 | Raith Rovers | 36 | 20 | 9 | 7 | 58 | 42 | 16 | 69 |
3 | Partick ThistlePartick | 36 | 14 | 13 | 9 | 63 | 54 | 9 | 55 |
4 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 36 | 15 | 7 | 14 | 44 | 44 | 0 | 52 |
5 | Greenock MortonMorton | 36 | 12 | 9 | 15 | 43 | 46 | -3 | 45 |
6 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 36 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 43 | 48 | -5 | 45 |
7 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 53 | 61 | -8 | 44 |
8 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 50 | 56 | -6 | 43 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 36 | 10 | 12 | 14 | 41 | 40 | 1 | 42 |
10 | Arbroath | 36 | 6 | 5 | 25 | 35 | 89 | -54 | 23 |
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