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Scottish Cup | Fourth Round
Jan 21, 2024 at 4pm UK
Celtic Park

Celtic
5 - 0
Buckie Thistle

Bernardo (25'), Thiago Holm (33'), Furuhashi (41'), Palma (50'), Vata (75')
Vata (71')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Pugh (14')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Scottish Cup clash between Celtic and Buckie Thistle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Celtic

All competitions
Last Game: St Mirren 0-3 Celtic
Tuesday, January 2 at 5pm in Scottish Premiership

Buckie Thistle

All competitions
Last Game: Dundee U21s 4-0 Buckie Thistle
Wednesday, August 2 at 8pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
TeamGoals scoredAvg per gameTop scorer
1Celtic532.41O'Riley
2Rangers412.05Sima
3Hibernian261.30Youan
4Motherwell251.19Biereth
5Hearts241.14Shankland
6Kilmarnock241.09Vassell
7St Mirren241.09Kiltie
8Aberdeen221.22Miovski
9Dundee221.22Bakayoko
10Ross County170.89Murray
11St Johnstone130.65Clark
12Livingston120.57Anderson

We said: Celtic 4-0 Buckie Thistle

 Cup upsets happen every year, and nothing is stopping Buckie Thistle from etching their names into the history books with a surprise victory this weekend. However, a dominant victory for Celtic is expected considering the large gap between the teams in the football pyramid and the quality that the Hoops have to choose from. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 88.15%. A draw had a probability of 7.9% and a win for Buckie Thistle had a probability of 3.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (9.17%) and 2-0 (8.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.49%), while for a Buckie Thistle win it was 1-2 (1.28%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.

Result
CelticDrawBuckie Thistle
88.15% (0.23999999999999 0.24) 7.91% (-0.011 -0.01) 3.94% (-0.227 -0.23)
Both teams to score 50.55% (-2.573 -2.57)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
80.56% (-1.477 -1.48)19.44% (1.481 1.48)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
62.71% (-2.16 -2.16)37.29% (2.163 2.16)
Celtic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
97.24% (-0.179 -0.18)2.76% (0.1829 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
87.34% (-0.66200000000001 -0.66)12.66% (0.666 0.67)
Buckie Thistle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.99% (-2.545 -2.55)48.01% (2.546 2.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.76% (-1.936 -1.94)83.24% (1.939 1.94)
Score Analysis
    Celtic 88.15%
    Buckie Thistle 3.94%
    Draw 7.91%
CelticDrawBuckie Thistle
3-0 @ 10.21% (0.649 0.65)
4-0 @ 9.17% (0.424 0.42)
2-0 @ 8.54% (0.7 0.7)
3-1 @ 7.5% (-0.039 -0.04)
4-1 @ 6.73% (-0.166 -0.17)
5-0 @ 6.59% (0.184 0.18)
2-1 @ 6.26% (0.086 0.09)
5-1 @ 4.83% (-0.214 -0.21)
1-0 @ 4.76% (0.472 0.47)
6-0 @ 3.94% (0.036 0.04)
6-1 @ 2.89% (-0.186 -0.19)
3-2 @ 2.75% (-0.22 -0.22)
4-2 @ 2.47% (-0.248 -0.25)
7-0 @ 2.02% (-0.02 -0.02)
5-2 @ 1.77% (-0.216 -0.22)
7-1 @ 1.48% (-0.126 -0.13)
6-2 @ 1.06% (-0.152 -0.15)
8-0 @ 0.91% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 4.27%
Total : 88.15%
1-1 @ 3.49% (0.113 0.11)
2-2 @ 2.3% (-0.137 -0.14)
0-0 @ 1.33% (0.154 0.15)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 7.91%
1-2 @ 1.28% (-0.051 -0.05)
0-1 @ 0.97% (0.049 0.05)
Other @ 1.69%
Total : 3.94%

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