Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Edinburgh City win with a probability of 40.2%. A win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 35.72% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Edinburgh City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.51%) and 2-0 (5.9%). The likeliest Kelty Hearts win was 1-2 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Edinburgh City | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
40.2% ( 0.08) | 24.07% ( -0.02) | 35.72% ( -0.07) |
Both teams to score 61.01% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.61% ( 0.06) | 41.39% ( -0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.21% ( 0.06) | 63.78% ( -0.06) |
Edinburgh City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.23% ( 0.06) | 20.76% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.6% ( 0.1) | 53.4% ( -0.11) |
Kelty Hearts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77% ( -0.01) | 23% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.2% ( -0.01) | 56.8% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Edinburgh City | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
2-1 @ 8.67% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.51% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.9% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.55% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.34% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.09% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.79% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.31% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.22% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.83% Total : 40.2% | 1-1 @ 11.03% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.37% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.77% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.64% ( 0) Other @ 0.26% Total : 24.07% | 1-2 @ 8.11% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.02% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 5.16% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.97% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.12% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.53% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.46% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.15% 0-4 @ 0.93% ( -0) Other @ 2.29% Total : 35.72% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 36 | 27 | 9 | 0 | 96 | 28 | 68 | 90 |
2 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 73 | 28 | 45 | 74 |
3 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 36 | 16 | 8 | 12 | 60 | 55 | 5 | 56 |
4 | Montrose | 36 | 15 | 8 | 13 | 58 | 57 | 1 | 53 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 36 | 14 | 7 | 15 | 58 | 63 | -5 | 49 |
6 | Kelty Hearts | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 48 | 63 | -15 | 44 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 46 | 53 | -7 | 41 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 36 | 9 | 12 | 15 | 55 | 68 | -13 | 39 |
9 | Stirling AlbionStirling | 36 | 10 | 9 | 17 | 39 | 58 | -19 | 39 |
10 | Edinburgh CityEdinburgh | 36 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 38 | 98 | -60 | 8 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |