Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 46.63%. A win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 27.64% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.21%) and 0-2 (8.39%). The likeliest Kelty Hearts win was 1-0 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Falkirk would win this match.
Result | ||
Kelty Hearts | Draw | Falkirk |
27.64% ( -0.64) | 25.72% ( -0.21) | 46.63% ( 0.85) |
Both teams to score 51.86% ( 0.22) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.25% ( 0.5) | 51.74% ( -0.5) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.48% ( 0.43) | 73.51% ( -0.43) |
Kelty Hearts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.63% ( -0.23) | 33.36% ( 0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.01% ( -0.26) | 69.98% ( 0.26) |
Falkirk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.82% ( 0.6) | 22.18% ( -0.6) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.42% ( 0.89) | 55.58% ( -0.89) |
Score Analysis |
Kelty Hearts | Draw | Falkirk |
1-0 @ 8.12% ( -0.21) 2-1 @ 6.71% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 4.46% ( -0.15) 3-1 @ 2.46% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 1.85% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.63% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.41% Total : 27.65% | 1-1 @ 12.23% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 7.4% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 5.06% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.72% | 0-1 @ 11.14% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 9.21% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 8.39% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 4.63% ( 0.13) 0-3 @ 4.21% ( 0.14) 2-3 @ 2.54% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 1.74% ( 0.08) 0-4 @ 1.59% ( 0.08) 2-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.23% Total : 46.63% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 36 | 27 | 9 | 0 | 96 | 28 | 68 | 90 |
2 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 73 | 28 | 45 | 74 |
3 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 36 | 16 | 8 | 12 | 60 | 55 | 5 | 56 |
4 | Montrose | 36 | 15 | 8 | 13 | 58 | 57 | 1 | 53 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 36 | 14 | 7 | 15 | 58 | 63 | -5 | 49 |
6 | Kelty Hearts | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 48 | 63 | -15 | 44 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 46 | 53 | -7 | 41 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 36 | 9 | 12 | 15 | 55 | 68 | -13 | 39 |
9 | Stirling AlbionStirling | 36 | 10 | 9 | 17 | 39 | 58 | -19 | 39 |
10 | Edinburgh CityEdinburgh | 36 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 38 | 98 | -60 | 8 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |