Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kelty Hearts win with a probability of 63.95%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Peterhead had a probability of 15.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kelty Hearts win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.82%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.98%), while for a Peterhead win it was 0-1 (5.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kelty Hearts would win this match.
Result | ||
Kelty Hearts | Draw | Peterhead |
63.95% ( -0.51) | 20.99% ( 0.19) | 15.06% ( 0.32) |
Both teams to score 48.38% ( 0.15) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.79% ( -0.2) | 47.2% ( 0.2) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.56% ( -0.19) | 69.43% ( 0.18) |
Kelty Hearts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.93% ( -0.22) | 14.07% ( 0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.34% ( -0.43) | 41.66% ( 0.43) |
Peterhead Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.3% ( 0.32) | 43.7% ( -0.33) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.12% ( 0.27) | 79.88% ( -0.27) |
Score Analysis |
Kelty Hearts | Draw | Peterhead |
1-0 @ 12.05% 2-0 @ 11.82% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 9.79% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 7.73% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 6.4% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 3.79% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 3.14% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.65% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.49% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.3% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.23% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.56% Total : 63.94% | 1-1 @ 9.98% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 6.15% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.05% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.81% Total : 20.99% | 0-1 @ 5.09% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 4.13% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 2.11% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.47% Total : 15.06% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 36 | 27 | 9 | 0 | 96 | 28 | 68 | 90 |
2 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 73 | 28 | 45 | 74 |
3 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 36 | 16 | 8 | 12 | 60 | 55 | 5 | 56 |
4 | Montrose | 36 | 15 | 8 | 13 | 58 | 57 | 1 | 53 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 36 | 14 | 7 | 15 | 58 | 63 | -5 | 49 |
6 | Kelty Hearts | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 48 | 63 | -15 | 44 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 46 | 53 | -7 | 41 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 36 | 9 | 12 | 15 | 55 | 68 | -13 | 39 |
9 | Stirling AlbionStirling | 36 | 10 | 9 | 17 | 39 | 58 | -19 | 39 |
10 | Edinburgh CityEdinburgh | 36 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 38 | 98 | -60 | 8 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |