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Serie A | Gameweek 9
Oct 8, 2022 at 5pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Juventus logo

AC Milan
2 - 0
Juventus

Tomori (45+1'), Diaz (54')
Diaz (55'), Tonali (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Cuadrado (26'), Kean (90+4'), Paredes (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Juventus, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chelsea 3-0 AC Milan
Wednesday, October 5 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Juventus 3-1 Maccabi Haifa
Wednesday, October 5 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: AC Milan 1-1 Juventus

Milan and Juventus are two of the three teams to have lost the fewest Serie A matches in 2022 - and they could not be split in either of their meetings last term. Only twice before have they drawn three times in a row, but such a result could be on the cards as the champions are still weakened by numerous injuries. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 61.56%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Juventus had a probability of 16.02%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.03%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.59%), while for a Juventus win it was 0-1 (5.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result
AC MilanDrawJuventus
61.56% (0.021000000000001 0.02) 22.41% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01) 16.02% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Both teams to score 46.23% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.74% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)51.26% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.91% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)73.09% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.82% (0.0010000000000048 0)16.18% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.34%45.65%
Juventus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.16% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)44.84% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.19% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)80.8% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Score Analysis
    AC Milan 61.55%
    Juventus 16.02%
    Draw 22.4%
AC MilanDrawJuventus
1-0 @ 13.21% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 12.03% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.65% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-0 @ 7.31% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.86% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
4-0 @ 3.33% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 2.67% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.35% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
5-0 @ 1.21% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.07% (-0.002 -0)
5-1 @ 0.97%
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 61.55%
1-1 @ 10.59% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.26% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.87% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 22.4%
0-1 @ 5.82% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-2 @ 4.25% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 2.33% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 1.14% (-0.002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.04% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.45%
Total : 16.02%

How you voted: AC Milan vs Juventus

AC Milan
55.5%
Draw
14.8%
Juventus
29.7%
182
Head to Head
Jan 23, 2022 7.45pm
Sep 19, 2021 7.45pm
May 9, 2021 7.45pm
Juventus
0-3
AC Milan

Chiesa (53'), Chiellini (57')
Diaz (45+1'), Rebic (78'), Tomori (82')
Diaz (59'), Saelemaekers (76')
Jan 6, 2021 7.45pm
AC Milan
1-3
Juventus
Calabria (41')
Romagnoli (90')
Chiesa (18', 62'), McKennie (76')
Bentancur (60'), Danilo (72')
Jul 7, 2020 8.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan38297289226794
2AC Milan38229776492775
3Juventus381914554312371
4Atalanta BCAtalanta372161070393169
5Bologna381814654322268
6Roma381891165461963
7Lazio381871349391061
8Fiorentina371691258441457
9Torino381314113636053
10Napoli381314115548753
11Genoa381213134545049
12Monza381112153951-1245
13Hellas VeronaHellas Verona38911183851-1338
14Lecce38814163254-2238
15Udinese38619133753-1637
16CagliariCagliari38812184268-2636
17Empoli3899202954-2536
RFrosinoneFrosinone38811194469-2535
RSassuoloSassuolo3879224375-3230
RSalernitana38211253281-4917


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