Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 42.47%. A win for Napoli had a probability of 34.8% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.19%) and 2-0 (5.47%). The likeliest Napoli win was 1-2 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
Result | ||
Inter Milan | Draw | Napoli |
42.47% ( 0.58) | 22.73% ( -0.32) | 34.8% ( -0.27) |
Both teams to score 65.9% ( 1.16) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.07% ( 1.54) | 34.93% ( -1.54) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.09% ( 1.7) | 56.91% ( -1.7) |
Inter Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.92% ( 0.87) | 17.08% ( -0.87) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.73% ( 1.51) | 47.26% ( -1.52) |
Napoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.48% ( 0.57) | 20.52% ( -0.57) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.98% ( 0.9) | 53.02% ( -0.9) |
Score Analysis |
Inter Milan | Draw | Napoli |
2-1 @ 8.67% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 6.19% ( -0.31) 2-0 @ 5.47% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 5.11% ( 0.13) 3-2 @ 4.04% ( 0.17) 3-0 @ 3.23% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.26% ( 0.12) 4-2 @ 1.79% ( 0.12) 4-0 @ 1.43% ( 0.05) 4-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.08) Other @ 3.35% Total : 42.47% | 1-1 @ 9.81% ( -0.31) 2-2 @ 6.86% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 3.5% ( -0.28) 3-3 @ 2.14% ( 0.13) Other @ 0.42% Total : 22.73% | 1-2 @ 7.77% ( -0.11) 0-1 @ 5.55% ( -0.34) 0-2 @ 4.4% ( -0.19) 1-3 @ 4.1% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 3.62% ( 0.12) 0-3 @ 2.32% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 1.62% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 1.44% ( 0.07) 0-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.06% Total : 34.8% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 36 | 29 | 5 | 2 | 86 | 19 | 67 | 92 |
2 | AC Milan | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 74 |
3 | Bologna | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 51 | 27 | 24 | 67 |
4 | Juventus | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 49 | 28 | 21 | 67 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 35 | 19 | 6 | 10 | 65 | 39 | 26 | 63 |
6 | Roma | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 63 | 44 | 19 | 60 |
7 | Lazio | 36 | 18 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 59 |
8 | Fiorentina | 35 | 15 | 8 | 12 | 53 | 40 | 13 | 53 |
9 | Napoli | 36 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 51 |
10 | Torino | 36 | 12 | 14 | 10 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 50 |
11 | Genoa | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 46 |
12 | Monza | 36 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 45 |
13 | Lecce | 36 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 37 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 34 |
15 | Udinese | 36 | 5 | 18 | 13 | 35 | 52 | -17 | 33 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 36 | 7 | 12 | 17 | 38 | 65 | -27 | 33 |
17 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 36 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 43 | 68 | -25 | 32 |
18 | Empoli | 36 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 26 | 52 | -26 | 32 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 36 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 42 | 72 | -30 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 36 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 28 | 76 | -48 | 16 |
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