MX23RW : Friday, May 17 09:26:34| >> :300:86500:86500:
Milan logo
Atalanta logo
Bologna logo
Cagliari logo
Empoli logo
Fiorentina logo
Frosinone logo
Genoa logo
Hellas Verona logo
Inter logo
Juventus logo
Lazio logo
Lecce logo
Monza
Napoli logo
Roma logo
Salernitana
Sassuolo logo
Torino logo
Udinese logo
Inter logo
Serie A | Gameweek 16
Jan 4, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Napoli logo

Inter Milan
1 - 0
Napoli

Dzeko (56')
Dzeko (27'), Barella (84'), Dumfries (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Di Lorenzo (85'), Min-jae (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Serie A clash between Inter Milan and Napoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sassuolo 0-1 Inter Milan
Thursday, December 29 at 4pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Napoli 3-1 Crystal Palace
Sunday, December 11 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1

We said: Inter Milan 2-2 Napoli

In their last 24 league games Inter have never drawn - posting 18 wins and six losses during that spell - but now would not be a bad time to start. Though they really need maximum points to start closing the gap to distant leaders Napoli, the visitors' potent attack cannot be kept quiet for a full 90 minutes and a point apiece will have to suffice. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 42.47%. A win for Napoli had a probability of 34.8% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.19%) and 2-0 (5.47%). The likeliest Napoli win was 1-2 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
Inter MilanDrawNapoli
42.47% (0.58499999999999 0.58) 22.73% (-0.323 -0.32) 34.8% (-0.266 -0.27)
Both teams to score 65.9% (1.158 1.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.07% (1.541 1.54)34.93% (-1.544 -1.54)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.09% (1.699 1.7)56.91% (-1.703 -1.7)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.92% (0.86799999999999 0.87)17.08% (-0.872 -0.87)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.73% (1.513 1.51)47.26% (-1.518 -1.52)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.48% (0.568 0.57)20.52% (-0.573 -0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.98% (0.895 0.9)53.02% (-0.899 -0.9)
Score Analysis
    Inter Milan 42.47%
    Napoli 34.8%
    Draw 22.73%
Inter MilanDrawNapoli
2-1 @ 8.67% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-0 @ 6.19% (-0.309 -0.31)
2-0 @ 5.47% (-0.111 -0.11)
3-1 @ 5.11% (0.13 0.13)
3-2 @ 4.04% (0.172 0.17)
3-0 @ 3.23% (0.027 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.26% (0.12 0.12)
4-2 @ 1.79% (0.124 0.12)
4-0 @ 1.43% (0.052 0.05)
4-3 @ 0.94% (0.08 0.08)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 42.47%
1-1 @ 9.81% (-0.311 -0.31)
2-2 @ 6.86% (0.101 0.1)
0-0 @ 3.5% (-0.282 -0.28)
3-3 @ 2.14% (0.126 0.13)
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 22.73%
1-2 @ 7.77% (-0.106 -0.11)
0-1 @ 5.55% (-0.342 -0.34)
0-2 @ 4.4% (-0.189 -0.19)
1-3 @ 4.1% (0.017 0.02)
2-3 @ 3.62% (0.116 0.12)
0-3 @ 2.32% (-0.058 -0.06)
1-4 @ 1.62% (0.035 0.04)
2-4 @ 1.44% (0.07 0.07)
0-4 @ 0.92% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 34.8%

How you voted: Inter Milan vs Napoli

Inter Milan
29.1%
Draw
26.3%
Napoli
44.6%
213
Head to Head
Feb 12, 2022 5pm
Nov 21, 2021 5pm
Inter Milan
3-2
Napoli
Calhanoglu (25' pen.), Perisic (44'), Martinez (61')
Inzaghi (24'), Calhanoglu (41'), Vidal (72'), Handanovic (84'), Dzeko (90+1')
Zielinski (17'), Mertens (78')
Osimhen (10'), Koulibaly (24'), Rrahmani (35')
Apr 18, 2021 7.45pm
Napoli
1-1
Inter Milan
Handanovic (36' og.)
Koulibaly (38'), Demme (80'), Politano (87'), Mertens (88'), Manolas (90+4')
Eriksen (55')
Darmian (63'), Hakimi (90+5')
Dec 16, 2020 7.45pm
Inter Milan
1-0
Napoli
Lukaku (73' pen.)
Brozovic (57'), Lukaku (80'), Skriniar (85'), D'Ambrosio (88'), Handanovic (90+1')

Bakayoko (59'), Ospina (71'), Lozano (75')
Insigne (71')
Jul 28, 2020 8.45pm
Inter Milan
2-0
Napoli
D'Ambrosio (11'), Martinez (74')
Sanchez (22'), Brozovic (45+4'), Barella (55'), Biraghi (76')

Lozano (80')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan36295286196792
2AC Milan36228672432974
3Bologna361813551272467
4Juventus361813549282167
5Atalanta BCAtalanta351961065392663
6Roma361791063441960
7Lazio361851347371059
8Fiorentina351581253401353
9Napoli361312115346751
10Torino361214103332150
11Genoa361113124344-146
12Monza361112133948-945
13Lecce36813153252-2037
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona36810183448-1434
15Udinese36518133552-1733
16CagliariCagliari36712173865-2733
17FrosinoneFrosinone36711184368-2532
18Empoli3688202652-2632
19SassuoloSassuolo3678214272-3029
RSalernitana36210242876-4816


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!