Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 39.81%. A win for Juventus had a probability of 32.63% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.3%) and 0-2 (7.36%). The likeliest Juventus win was 1-0 (10.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Juventus | Draw | Atalanta BC |
32.63% ( -2.35) | 27.55% ( 0.38) | 39.81% ( 1.96) |
Both teams to score 48.73% ( -1.6) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.1% ( -1.82) | 56.89% ( 1.82) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.19% ( -1.48) | 77.81% ( 1.48) |
Juventus Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.61% ( -2.46) | 32.39% ( 2.46) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.1% ( -2.87) | 68.9% ( 2.87) |
Atalanta BC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.07% ( 0.25) | 27.93% ( -0.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.45% ( 0.32) | 63.55% ( -0.32) |
Score Analysis |
Juventus | Draw | Atalanta BC |
1-0 @ 10.19% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.33% ( -0.44) 2-0 @ 5.75% ( -0.39) 3-1 @ 2.76% ( -0.37) 3-0 @ 2.16% ( -0.31) 3-2 @ 1.76% ( -0.22) Other @ 2.69% Total : 32.63% | 1-1 @ 13% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 9.04% ( 0.61) 2-2 @ 4.68% ( -0.25) Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.54% | 0-1 @ 11.53% ( 0.85) 1-2 @ 8.3% ( 0.14) 0-2 @ 7.36% ( 0.59) 1-3 @ 3.53% ( 0.08) 0-3 @ 3.13% ( 0.27) 2-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.09) 1-4 @ 1.13% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 1% ( 0.09) Other @ 1.86% Total : 39.81% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 38 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 89 | 22 | 67 | 94 |
2 | AC Milan | 38 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 76 | 49 | 27 | 75 |
3 | Juventus | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 54 | 31 | 23 | 71 |
4 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 38 | 21 | 6 | 11 | 72 | 42 | 30 | 69 |
5 | Bologna | 38 | 18 | 14 | 6 | 54 | 32 | 22 | 68 |
6 | Roma | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 63 |
7 | Lazio | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 61 |
8 | Fiorentina | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 61 | 46 | 15 | 60 |
9 | Torino | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 53 |
10 | Napoli | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 53 |
11 | Genoa | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 49 |
12 | Monza | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 45 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 38 |
14 | Lecce | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 38 |
15 | Udinese | 38 | 6 | 19 | 13 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 37 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 36 |
17 | Empoli | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 36 |
R | FrosinoneFrosinone | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 35 |
R | SassuoloSassuolo | 38 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 30 |
R | Salernitana | 38 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 32 | 81 | -49 | 17 |
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