Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 59.55%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 18.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.41%) and 1-2 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.44%), while for a Salernitana win it was 1-0 (5.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.
Result | ||
Salernitana | Draw | Lazio |
18.44% ( -0.56) | 22% ( -0.27) | 59.55% ( 0.82) |
Both teams to score 52.23% ( -0.13) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.29% ( 0.32) | 45.7% ( -0.32) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.97% ( 0.3) | 68.02% ( -0.3) |
Salernitana Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.42% ( -0.43) | 38.57% ( 0.43) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.67% ( -0.41) | 75.32% ( 0.41) |
Lazio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.04% ( 0.38) | 14.96% ( -0.38) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.62% ( 0.71) | 43.38% ( -0.71) |
Score Analysis |
Salernitana | Draw | Lazio |
1-0 @ 5.5% ( -0.14) 2-1 @ 4.97% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 2.62% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 1.58% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 1.5% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.27% Total : 18.44% | 1-1 @ 10.44% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 5.77% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 4.73% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 22% | 0-1 @ 10.96% 0-2 @ 10.41% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 9.92% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 6.6% ( 0.17) 1-3 @ 6.28% ( 0.09) 0-4 @ 3.13% ( 0.12) 2-3 @ 2.99% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 2.98% ( 0.08) 2-4 @ 1.42% ( 0.02) 0-5 @ 1.19% ( 0.06) 1-5 @ 1.13% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.52% Total : 59.55% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 37 | 29 | 6 | 2 | 87 | 20 | 67 | 93 |
2 | AC Milan | 37 | 22 | 8 | 7 | 73 | 46 | 27 | 74 |
3 | Bologna | 37 | 18 | 14 | 5 | 54 | 30 | 24 | 68 |
4 | Juventus | 37 | 18 | 14 | 5 | 52 | 31 | 21 | 68 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 36 | 20 | 6 | 10 | 67 | 39 | 28 | 66 |
6 | Roma | 37 | 18 | 9 | 10 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 63 |
7 | Lazio | 37 | 18 | 6 | 13 | 48 | 38 | 10 | 60 |
8 | Fiorentina | 37 | 16 | 9 | 12 | 58 | 44 | 14 | 57 |
9 | Torino | 37 | 13 | 14 | 10 | 36 | 33 | 3 | 53 |
10 | Napoli | 37 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 52 |
11 | Genoa | 37 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 43 | 45 | -2 | 46 |
12 | Monza | 37 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 45 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 37 | 9 | 10 | 18 | 36 | 49 | -13 | 37 |
14 | Lecce | 37 | 8 | 13 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 37 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 36 |
16 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 37 | 8 | 11 | 18 | 44 | 68 | -24 | 35 |
17 | Udinese | 37 | 5 | 19 | 13 | 36 | 53 | -17 | 34 |
18 | Empoli | 37 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 27 | 53 | -26 | 33 |
R | SassuoloSassuolo | 37 | 7 | 8 | 22 | 42 | 74 | -32 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 37 | 2 | 10 | 25 | 29 | 78 | -49 | 16 |
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