MX23RW : Monday, May 20 14:39:28| >> :600:9937656:9937656:
Estoril
Taca da Liga | Second Round
Jul 29, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota
CF Os Belenenses

Estoril
5 - 1
CF Os Belenenses

Martins (45+2'), Araujo (56'), Feltes (64'), Carlos (74', 89')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Quintino Sambu (90+2')
Urtigueira Gouveia Beirao Valente (1')
Coverage of the Taca da Liga Second Round clash between Estoril Praia and CF Os Belenenses.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Estoril 2-0 Pacos de Ferreira
Saturday, July 22 at 8.30pm in Taca da Liga
Last Game: CF Os Belenenses 3-2 Famalicao
Sunday, July 23 at 6pm in Taca da Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 65.29%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for CF Os Belenenses had a probability of 14.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.03%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.52%), while for a CF Os Belenenses win it was 0-1 (4.6%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Estoril Praia would win this match.

Result
Estoril PraiaDrawCF Os Belenenses
65.29% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06) 20.04% (0.010999999999999 0.01) 14.67% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
Both teams to score 50.5% (0.089000000000006 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.12% (0.053000000000004 0.05)43.87% (-0.050999999999995 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.74% (0.052 0.05)66.26% (-0.049000000000007 -0.05)
Estoril Praia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.36% (0.00099999999999056 0)12.64% (0.0020000000000007 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.22% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)38.77% (0.0039999999999978 0)
CF Os Belenenses Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.8% (0.103 0.1)42.2% (-0.099999999999994 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.39% (0.09 0.09)78.61% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Estoril Praia 65.28%
    CF Os Belenenses 14.67%
    Draw 20.04%
Estoril PraiaDrawCF Os Belenenses
2-0 @ 11.4% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-0 @ 11.03% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.84% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 7.87% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-1 @ 6.79% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 4.07% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.51% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.93% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.68% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 1.51% (0.004 0)
5-1 @ 1.45%
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 65.28%
1-1 @ 9.52% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-0 @ 5.33% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.25% (0.013000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 20.04%
0-1 @ 4.6% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-2 @ 4.11% (0.013000000000001 0.01)
0-2 @ 1.99% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.22% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.18% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 1.58%
Total : 14.67%

rhs 2.0
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