MX23RW : Monday, May 20 20:52:31| >> :300:86500:86500:
Montevideo Wanderers
Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 12
Apr 25, 2023 at 12am UK
Parque Alfredo Víctor Viera

Wanderers
0 - 1
Nacional


Camargo (40'), Cerro (89'), Santurio (90+8')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Polenta (90')
Candido (62'), Rochet (88')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Montevideo Wanderers and Nacional.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: River Plate 1-2 Wanderers
Sunday, April 16 at 7.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 51.41%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Montevideo Wanderers had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.99%) and 1-2 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.12%), while for a Montevideo Wanderers win it was 1-0 (7.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Nacional in this match.

Result
Montevideo WanderersDrawNacional
22.9% (-0.389 -0.39) 25.69% (0.087 0.09) 51.41% (0.303 0.3)
Both teams to score 47.62% (-0.67 -0.67)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.86% (-0.659 -0.66)55.14% (0.661 0.66)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.61% (-0.547 -0.55)76.39% (0.547 0.55)
Montevideo Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.66% (-0.743 -0.74)39.34% (0.74400000000001 0.74)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.96% (-0.7 -0.7)76.04% (0.70100000000001 0.7)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.51% (-0.14100000000001 -0.14)21.49% (0.141 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.47% (-0.217 -0.22)54.53% (0.219 0.22)
Score Analysis
    Montevideo Wanderers 22.9%
    Nacional 51.4%
    Draw 25.68%
Montevideo WanderersDrawNacional
1-0 @ 7.89% (0.042 0.04)
2-1 @ 5.66% (-0.109 -0.11)
2-0 @ 3.68% (-0.055 -0.06)
3-1 @ 1.76% (-0.071 -0.07)
3-2 @ 1.35% (-0.061 -0.06)
3-0 @ 1.14% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 1.42%
Total : 22.9%
1-1 @ 12.12% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.46% (0.215 0.22)
2-2 @ 4.35% (-0.103 -0.1)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 25.68%
0-1 @ 12.99% (0.27 0.27)
0-2 @ 9.99% (0.17 0.17)
1-2 @ 9.32% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-3 @ 5.12% (0.065 0.06)
1-3 @ 4.78% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.23% (-0.062 -0.06)
0-4 @ 1.97% (0.017 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.84% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 51.4%

Head to Head
Aug 20, 2022 10pm
gameweek 6
Nacional
2-0
Wanderers
Carballo (15', 59')
Lozano (56'), Rochet (88'), Rodriguez (90')

Bravo (22'), Acosta (44'), Wagner (70'), Castro (90'), Aguirre (90+3')
Mar 20, 2022 10.30pm
gameweek 6
Wanderers
2-2
Nacional
Rivero (77'), Hernandez (90')
Bravo (22'), Lacerda (45+3'), (90+16')
Hernandez (90+1'), (90+15')
Castro (68'), Fagundez (90+10')
Castro (60'), Rodriguez (86'), Coelho (89'), (90'), (90+8'), Luis Rodriguez (90+11')
Rodriguez (90+8'), Zabala (90+8')
Oct 22, 2021 12.30am
gameweek 7
Wanderers
1-0
Nacional
Aguirre (42')
Veglio (26'), Pais (79'), Wagner (90+5')

Candido (22'), Fernandez (75'), Zunino (89')
Jun 24, 2021 7.45pm
gameweek 7
Nacional
3-0
Wanderers
Bergessio (4', 53' pen., 71')
Vega (45'), Bergessio (60')

Torres (37'), Abero (78')
Jan 31, 2021 12am
gameweek 3
Nacional
2-1
Wanderers
Orihuela (24'), Carballo (47')
Orihuela (40'), (64')
Orihuela (64')
Perez (8')
Barreto (25'), Araujo (37'), Bueno (81'), (90+4')
Araujo (90+4')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PenarolPenarol1311202762135
2NacionalNacional1274125151025
3Boston RiverBoston River137331813524
4ProgresoProgreso137332421324
5Defensor SportingDefensor136432516922
6LiverpoolLiverpool134632119218
7Racing de MontevideoRacing135351817118
8Cerro Largo135351413118
9Montevideo WanderersWanderers134361317-415
10Deportivo MaldonadoMaldonado124261315-214
11River PlateRiver Plate133461519-413
12DanubioDanubio133461217-513
13Rampla JuniorsRampla133371224-1212
14CerroCerro132561323-1011
15FenixFenix132471016-610
16Miramar Misiones131571625-98


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!