Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 4
Feb 26, 2023 at 11pm UK
Estadio Gran Parque Central
Nacional3 - 1Racing
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Nacional and Racing de Montevideo.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Plaza Colonia 2-1 Nacional
Saturday, February 18 at 10.45pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Saturday, February 18 at 10.45pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Racing 0-0 River Plate
Sunday, February 19 at 12.45pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Sunday, February 19 at 12.45pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 49.36%. A draw had a probability of 28.4% and a win for Racing de Montevideo had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.62%) and 2-1 (8.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.61%), while for a Racing de Montevideo win it was 0-1 (9.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nacional | Draw | Racing de Montevideo |
49.36% ( 0.17) | 28.43% ( -0.11) | 22.2% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 39.94% ( 0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
