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Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 15
Dec 4, 2021 at 8pm UK
Estadio Gran Parque Central

Nacional
4 - 2
River Plate

Almeida (26'), Brunelli (53' og., 61' og.), Fernandez (62')
Fernandez (23')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Borbas (1'), Montiel (90')
Bonifazi (45'), Boggio (59')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Nacional and River Plate.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 61.79%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for River Plate had a probability of 15.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.22%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.59%), while for a River Plate win it was 0-1 (5.85%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.

Result
NacionalDrawRiver Plate
61.79%22.46%15.75%
Both teams to score 45.52%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.09%51.9%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.34%73.65%
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.67%16.33%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.08%45.92%
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.4%45.6%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.59%81.4%
Score Analysis
    Nacional 61.78%
    River Plate 15.75%
    Draw 22.46%
NacionalDrawRiver Plate
1-0 @ 13.49%
2-0 @ 12.22%
2-1 @ 9.6%
3-0 @ 7.39%
3-1 @ 5.8%
4-0 @ 3.35%
4-1 @ 2.63%
3-2 @ 2.28%
5-0 @ 1.21%
4-2 @ 1.03%
5-1 @ 0.95%
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 61.78%
1-1 @ 10.59%
0-0 @ 7.45%
2-2 @ 3.77%
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 22.46%
0-1 @ 5.85%
1-2 @ 4.16%
0-2 @ 2.3%
1-3 @ 1.09%
2-3 @ 0.99%
Other @ 1.37%
Total : 15.75%

Head to Head
Aug 21, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 15
River Plate
2-0
Nacional
Arezo (45+1'), Boggio (51')
Diaz (17'), Montiel (34'), Napoli (73')

Mendez (24'), Rodriguez (34'), Trasante (40'), Bergessio (41'), Martinez (46')
Bergessio (90+2')
Feb 8, 2021 12.45am
Nov 12, 2020 5.45pm
Gameweek 4
River Plate
0-2
Nacional

Fossati (17'), Ospitaleche (18'), Leites (38')
Vicente (40')
Bergessio (52'), Rodriguez (90+2')
Martinez (57')
Aug 15, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 5
River Plate
2-3
Nacional
Leites (6'), Viera (21')
Bergessio (12', 45+2', 76')
Oct 24, 2019 8pm
River Plate
3-1
Nacional
Olivera (8'), Urruti (16'), Leites (61')
Viera (41'), Calzada (47'), Fernandez (70'), Arezo (78')
Bergessio (36')
Garcia (32'), Bergessio (85'), Neves (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PenarolPenarol1513203172441
2NacionalNacional1494128151331
3Defensor SportingDefensor1584331171428
4Boston RiverBoston River148332014627
5ProgresoProgreso147342524124
6Racing de MontevideoRacing155462222019
7LiverpoolLiverpool144642221118
8Cerro Largo145361516-118
9Montevideo WanderersWanderers155371520-518
10Rampla JuniorsRampla154381527-1215
11River PlateRiver Plate153572025-514
12Deportivo MaldonadoMaldonado144281318-514
13CerroCerro143561625-914
14DanubioDanubio143471218-613
15FenixFenix153481117-613
16Miramar Misiones152581828-1011


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