Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 12
Nov 15, 2021 at 7.30pm UK
Parque Abraham Paladino
Progreso3 - 1Wanderers
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Progreso and Montevideo Wanderers.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Progreso win with a probability of 37.75%. A win for Montevideo Wanderers had a probability of 33.54% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Progreso win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.78%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Montevideo Wanderers win was 0-1 (11.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Progreso would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Progreso | Draw | Montevideo Wanderers |
| 37.75% | 28.71% | 33.54% |
| Both teams to score 45.56% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
