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Women's Super League | Gameweek 22
May 18, 2024 at 3pm UK
Villa Park

Aston Villa
vs.
Man City Women

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Women's Super League clash between Aston Villa Women and Manchester City Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brighton Women 0-1 Aston Villa
Saturday, May 4 at 1pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Man City Women 1-2 Arsenal Women
Sunday, May 5 at 2.15pm in Women's Super League

We say: Aston Villa Women 1-3 Manchester City Women

Man City have won nine of their 10 away league matches, and we think they produce another strong away performance to claim all three points, but they may struggle to achieve the three-goal swing in goal difference and such a scenario would leave them relying on a favour from their local rivals. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Manchester City Women win with a probability of 77.59%. A draw has a probability of 13.5% and a win for Aston Villa Women has a probability of 8.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Women win is 0-2 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-3 (9.22%) and 1-2 (8.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (6.08%), while for an Aston Villa Women win it is 2-1 (2.68%).

Result
Aston Villa WomenDrawManchester City Women
8.86% (-0.7481 -0.75) 13.55% (-0.855 -0.85) 77.59% (1.601 1.6)
Both teams to score 55.21% (0.344 0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.77% (1.901 1.9)28.23% (-1.902 -1.9)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
50.97% (2.321 2.32)49.02% (-2.323 -2.32)
Aston Villa Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.65% (-0.07 -0.07)41.35% (0.07 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.13% (-0.061 -0.06)77.86% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
Manchester City Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.13% (0.697 0.7)5.87% (-0.698 -0.7)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
77.49% (1.935 1.94)22.51% (-1.936 -1.94)
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa Women 8.86%
    Manchester City Women 77.59%
    Draw 13.55%
Aston Villa WomenDrawManchester City Women
2-1 @ 2.68% (-0.206 -0.21)
1-0 @ 2.14% (-0.255 -0.26)
3-2 @ 1.12% (-0.04 -0.04)
2-0 @ 0.95% (-0.115 -0.12)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 8.86%
1-1 @ 6.08% (-0.454 -0.45)
2-2 @ 3.8% (-0.13 -0.13)
0-0 @ 2.43% (-0.284 -0.28)
3-3 @ 1.06% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 13.55%
0-2 @ 9.76% (-0.285 -0.28)
0-3 @ 9.22% (0.098000000000001 0.1)
1-2 @ 8.62% (-0.277 -0.28)
1-3 @ 8.14% (0.07 0.07)
0-1 @ 6.88% (-0.5 -0.5)
0-4 @ 6.54% (0.325 0.33)
1-4 @ 5.77% (0.277 0.28)
0-5 @ 3.71% (0.323 0.32)
2-3 @ 3.6% (0.024 0.02)
1-5 @ 3.27% (0.28 0.28)
2-4 @ 2.55% (0.117 0.12)
0-6 @ 1.75% (0.216 0.22)
1-6 @ 1.55% (0.188 0.19)
2-5 @ 1.45% (0.121 0.12)
Other @ 4.79%
Total : 77.59%

Who will win Saturday's Women's Super League clash between Aston Villa and Man City Women?

Aston Villa Women
Draw
Manchester City Women
Aston Villa Women
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
Manchester City Women
100%
1
Head to Head
Dec 9, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 9
Man City Women
2-1
Aston Villa
Hemp (61', 65')
Turner (7')
Corsie (30'), Mayling (75')
Mar 19, 2023 6pm
Quarter-Finals
Aston Villa
2-1
Man City Women
Corsie (20'), Daly (97')
Jan 21, 2023 11.30am
Sep 18, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 2
Aston Villa
4-3
Man City Women
Lehmann (22'), Daly (32', 76'), Dali (58')
Coombs (45+1', 55'), Shaw (53')
Jan 15, 2022 1pm
Gameweek 12
Aston Villa
0-3
Man City Women
Stanway (5', 75'), Losada (41')
Greenwood (58')
rhs 2.0
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