Women's Super League | Gameweek 22
May 18, 2024 at 3pm UK
Ashton Gate Stadium
We said: Bristol City Women 0-2 Everton Ladies
Bristol City may have salvaged a 2-2 draw in November's reverse fixture, but they will be low on confidence after losing each of their previous eight league matches, and we think that they will fall to another defeat in Saturday's clash with Everton.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton Ladies win with a probability of 61.94% . A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Bristol City Women had a probability of 18.33% .
The most likely scoreline for a Everton Ladies win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.8% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.74%) and 0-1 (7.94%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.89%) , while for a Bristol City Women win it was 2-1 (4.98%) . The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Everton Ladies would win this match.
Result Bristol City Women Draw Everton Ladies 18.33% ( -2.41) 19.74% ( -0.43) 61.94% ( 2.84)
Both teams to score 59.94% ( -2.85)
64.54% ( -1.76) 35.46% ( 1.76)
42.5% ( -1.98) 57.5% ( 1.98)
67.38% ( -3.38) 32.62% ( 3.38)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 30.84% ( -3.96) 69.16% ( 3.97)
88.96% ( 0.22) 11.04% ( -0.21)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 64.64% ( 0.47) 35.36% ( -0.47)
Bristol City Women 18.33%
Everton Ladies 61.94%
Draw 19.74%
Bristol City Women Draw Everton Ladies 2-1 @ 4.98% ( -0.45) 1-0 @ 4.03% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 2.26% ( -0.23) 3-2 @ 2.05% ( -0.38) 3-1 @ 1.86% ( -0.37) Other @ 3.15% Total : 18.33% 1-1 @ 8.89% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.49% ( -0.45) 0-0 @ 3.6% ( 0.31) 3-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.27) Other @ 0.26% Total : 19.74% 1-2 @ 9.8% ( 0.14) 0-2 @ 8.74% ( 0.89) 0-1 @ 7.94% ( 0.75) 1-3 @ 7.2% ( 0.17) 0-3 @ 6.42% ( 0.71) 2-3 @ 4.03% ( -0.29) 1-4 @ 3.97% ( 0.13) 0-4 @ 3.54% ( 0.42) 2-4 @ 2.22% ( -0.14) 1-5 @ 1.75% ( 0.07) 0-5 @ 1.56% ( 0.2) 2-5 @ 0.98% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.8% Total : 61.94%
rhs 2.0
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