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Argentina national football team
World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Jun 4, 2021 at 1am UK
 
Chile national football team

Argentina
1 - 1
Chile

Messi (23' pen.)
Martinez (43'), Romero (52')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Sanchez (36')
Galdames (2'), Aranguiz (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash between Argentina and Chile, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Argentina could line up for their CONMEBOL FIFA World Cup qualifier with Chile on Friday.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina win with a probability of 56.05%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Chile had a probability of 19.26%.

The most likely scoreline for an Argentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.23%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.58%), while for a Chile win it was 0-1 (7.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.

Result
ArgentinaDrawChile
56.05%24.68%19.26%
Both teams to score 45.66%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.79%55.21%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.55%76.44%
Argentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.37%19.63%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.41%51.58%
Chile Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.81%43.19%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.55%79.45%
Score Analysis
    Argentina 56.04%
    Chile 19.26%
    Draw 24.67%
ArgentinaDrawChile
1-0 @ 13.8%
2-0 @ 11.23%
2-1 @ 9.43%
3-0 @ 6.1%
3-1 @ 5.12%
4-0 @ 2.48%
3-2 @ 2.15%
4-1 @ 2.08%
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 56.04%
1-1 @ 11.58%
0-0 @ 8.48%
2-2 @ 3.96%
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 24.67%
0-1 @ 7.12%
1-2 @ 4.86%
0-2 @ 2.99%
1-3 @ 1.36%
2-3 @ 1.11%
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 19.26%

How you voted: Argentina vs Chile

Argentina
89.9%
Draw
4.7%
Chile
5.4%
427
Head to Head
Sep 6, 2019 3.30am
International Friendlies
Chile
0-0
Argentina
Aranguiz (7'), Baeza (49'), Vegas (75'), Pinares (77')
Paredes (6'), Dybala (15'), Tagliafico (57'), Montiel (59'), De Paul (62'), Dominguez (82')
Jul 6, 2019 8pm
Third-place playoff
Argentina
2-1
Chile
Jul 4, 2015 9pm
Final
Chile
0-0
Argentina
Chile win 4-1 on penalties
Jul 22, 1930 5.45pm
Group Stage
Argentina
3-1
Chile
Stabile (12', 13'), Evaristo (51')
Subiabre (15')
rhs 2.0
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