MX23RW : Thursday, May 2 22:13:29| >> :300:86500:86500:
Adelaide United
Brisbane Roar
Central Coast Mariners
Macarthur
Melbourne City
Melbourne Victory
Newcastle Jets
Perth Glory
Sydney FC
Wellington Phoenix
Western Sydney Wanderers
Western United
Melbourne Victory
Australian A-League | Gameweek 25
Apr 20, 2024 at 8.30am UK
Melbourne Rectangular Stadium
Brisbane Roar

Victory
0 - 0
Brisbane Roar


Ikonomidis (82')
Geria (51')
FT
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Melbourne Victory and Brisbane Roar.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wellington 1-0 Victory
Friday, April 12 at 8am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Brisbane Roar 0-2 Newcastle Jets
Saturday, April 13 at 8.30am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 53.54%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 25.24% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.87%) and 1-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 1-2 (6.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.

Result
Melbourne VictoryDrawBrisbane Roar
53.54% (-0.703 -0.7) 21.21% (0.198 0.2) 25.24% (0.502 0.5)
Both teams to score 65.12% (-0.167 -0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.7% (-0.456 -0.46)33.3% (0.454 0.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.93% (-0.523 -0.52)55.07% (0.521 0.52)
Melbourne Victory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.32% (-0.35900000000001 -0.36)12.68% (0.357 0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.14% (-0.745 -0.74)38.86% (0.743 0.74)
Brisbane Roar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.58% (0.114 0.11)25.42% (-0.116 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.76% (0.156 0.16)60.23% (-0.159 -0.16)
Score Analysis
    Melbourne Victory 53.54%
    Brisbane Roar 25.24%
    Draw 21.21%
Melbourne VictoryDrawBrisbane Roar
2-1 @ 9.41% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-0 @ 6.87% (-0.024 -0.02)
1-0 @ 6.65% (0.068 0.07)
3-1 @ 6.48% (-0.091 -0.09)
3-0 @ 4.73% (-0.082 -0.08)
3-2 @ 4.44% (-0.047 -0.05)
4-1 @ 3.35% (-0.093 -0.09)
4-0 @ 2.44% (-0.077 -0.08)
4-2 @ 2.29% (-0.056 -0.06)
5-1 @ 1.38% (-0.058 -0.06)
4-3 @ 1.05% (-0.022 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.01% (-0.046 -0.05)
5-2 @ 0.95% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 53.54%
1-1 @ 9.12% (0.123 0.12)
2-2 @ 6.45% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 3.22% (0.077 0.08)
3-3 @ 2.03% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 21.21%
1-2 @ 6.24% (0.105 0.11)
0-1 @ 4.41% (0.119 0.12)
0-2 @ 3.02% (0.091 0.09)
2-3 @ 2.94% (0.019 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.85% (0.057 0.06)
0-3 @ 1.38% (0.046 0.05)
2-4 @ 1.01% (0.01 0.01)
1-4 @ 0.98% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 25.24%

Head to Head
Mar 3, 2024 6am
Gameweek 19
Brisbane Roar
3-2
Victory
Rojas (23', 56'), Waddingham (70')
Hore (39'), Burke-Gilroy (62'), Jelacic (90')
Machach (35'), Bonevacia (86')
Geria (15')
Apr 29, 2023 10.45am
Jan 6, 2023 8.45am
Oct 29, 2022 5am
Apr 25, 2022 5.05am
Gameweek 16
Brisbane Roar
1-1
Victory
Parsons (54')
Parsons (44'), Akbari (47'), O'Shea (90')
Hamill (68')
Ikonomidis (32'), Brillante (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast27174649272255
2Wellington PhoenixWellington27158442261653
3Melbourne VictoryVictory271012543331042
4Sydney FCSydney FC271251052411141
5Macarthur2711884548-341
6Melbourne CityMelbourne City271161050381239
7Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney27114124448-437
8Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United2795135253-132
9Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar2786134255-1330
10Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets27610113947-828
11Western UnitedWestern Utd2775153655-1926
12Perth GloryPerth Glory2757154669-2322


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!