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Europa League
Roma logo
Europa League | Semi-Finals | 1st Leg
May 2, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Leverkusen logo

Roma
0 - 2
B. Leverkusen


Pellegrini (30'), Spinazzola (74'), Cristante (78')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Wirtz (28'), Andrich (73')
Tah (16'), Xhaka (74'), Andrich (76')

The Match

Match Report

Bundesliga champions Bayer Leverkusen record a 2-0 victory over Roma in the first leg of their Europa League semi-final in Italy.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Roma and Bayer Leverkusen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Roma

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: Napoli 2-2 Roma
Sunday, April 28 at 5pm in Serie A

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 2-2 Stuttgart
Saturday, April 27 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 48.1%. A win for Roma had a probability of 27.53% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.46%) and 0-2 (7.97%). The likeliest Roma win was 1-0 (6.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.

Result
RomaDrawBayer Leverkusen
27.53% (0.041 0.04) 24.37% (0.0089999999999968 0.01) 48.1% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Both teams to score 56.11% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.87% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)46.13% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.57% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)68.43% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.49% (0.028000000000006 0.03)30.5% (-0.029 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.27% (0.032000000000004 0.03)66.72% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.74% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)19.26% (0.023000000000003 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.01% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)50.98% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Roma 27.53%
    Bayer Leverkusen 48.1%
    Draw 24.37%
RomaDrawBayer Leverkusen
1-0 @ 6.98% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-1 @ 6.82% (0.008 0.01)
2-0 @ 4.14% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.7% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 2.22% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 1.64% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 27.53%
1-1 @ 11.49% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.88% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-2 @ 5.62% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.22% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.37%
0-1 @ 9.68% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.46% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 7.97% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-3 @ 5.2% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 4.38% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.08% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 2.14% (-0.004 -0)
0-4 @ 1.8% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-4 @ 1.27% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 48.1%

How you voted: Roma vs B. Leverkusen

Roma
30.4%
Draw
25.6%
Bayer Leverkusen
44.0%
359
Head to Head
May 18, 2023 8pm
Semi-Finals 2nd Leg
B. Leverkusen
0-0
Roma
Hincapie (45+3'), Palacios (56'), Bakker (70'), Tapsoba (90+7'), Frimpong (90+10'), Diaby (90'), Alonso (90+8')
Ibanez (70'), Cristante (89'), Abraham (90+9')
> Match Report
May 11, 2023 8pm
Semi-Finals 1st Leg
Roma
1-0
B. Leverkusen
Bove (63')
> Match Report
Nov 4, 2015 7.45pm
Group Stage
Roma
3-2
B. Leverkusen
Salah (2'), Dzeko (29'), Pjanic (80' pen.)
Torosidis (91'), Szczesny (94')
Mehmedi (46'), Hernandez (51')
Papadopoulos (61')
Toprak (79')
> Match Report
Oct 20, 2015 7.45pm
Group Stage
B. Leverkusen
4-4
Roma
Hernandez (4' pen., 19'), Kampl (84'), Mehmedi (86')
Kramer (36'), Wendell (90')
De Rossi (29', 37'), Pjanic (54'), Falque (73')
Nainggolan (24'), de Rossi (34')
> Match Report
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